Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 35

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Baines D. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.8
	2.45	3.25	2.8
	2.5	3.3	2.8
	2.46	3.35	2.76
	2.61	3.27	2.91
	2.38	3.4	2.7
	2.45	3.38	2.74	Watch
	2.32	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.27)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.79 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
38.2%

Draw
28.1%

Tranmere Rovers
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.1%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Reyes V. (G) 5. Inniss R. 36. Keogh R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 16. Thompson D. 8. McCann C. 27. Bunker H. 17. Robson J. 10. Doidge C. 46. Osadebe E. 7. McAllister K.	1. McGee L. (G) 2. O'Connor L. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 27. Wood C. 25. Apter R. 4. Walker B. 8. Hendry R. 7. Morris K. 18. Jennings C. 19. Saunders H.
Substitutes
3. Bernard D. 21. Gorrin A. 37. Holland N. 4. Johnson D. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G) 9. Stevens M.	11. Hawkes J. 12. Jolley C. 23. McAlear R. 13. Murphy J. (G) 26. Norris J. 9. Norris L. 21. Yarney J.
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Adkins N.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 2.

Forest Green is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tranmere is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
17.02.24	Crawley Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Barrow - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	3:3 ✺
27.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
17.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Stockport County	4:0 ✺
13.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Doncaster Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	3:0
29.01.22	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	0:4
25.09.21	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	0:0
01.05.21	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	2:1
19.01.21	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	3:2
13.05.19	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
10.05.19	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	1:0

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