Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 32

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.85
	3.9	3.6	1.85
	3.75	3.75	1.9
	3.77	3.5	1.94
	4.22	3.65	1.91
	3.7	3.75	1.83
	3.82	3.68	1.88	Watch
	3.9	3.55	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (4.46)	3.62 ↓ (3.69)	1.87 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
24%

Draw
25.9%

Mansfield Town
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

25.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

25%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Mansfield will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daniels L. (G) 5. Inniss R. (C) 36. Keogh R. 17. Robson J. 25. Dabo F. 46. Osadebe E. 8. McCann C. 16. Thompson D. 9. Stevens M. 7. McAllister K. 10. Doidge C.	1. Pym C. (G) 22. Williams G. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 9. Bowery J. 10. Maris G. 25. Reed L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 8. Clarke O. 20. Nichols T. 26. Swan W.
Substitutes
3. Bernard D. 29. Brown R. 27. Bunker H. 28. Jones C. 23. Omotoye T. 22. Oyedele M. 20. Searle J. (G)	7. Akins L. 44. Boateng H. 6. Cargill B. 13. Flinders S. (G) 15. Lewis A. 3. McLaughlin S. 16. Quinn S.
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Clough N.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 2.

Forest Green is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mansfield is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
03.02.24	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	3:3 ✺
27.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Gillingham - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Salford City - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTLT
- Mansfield Town
English League Two
03.02.24	Mansfield Town - Notts County	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
23.01.24	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Morecambe - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Mansfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.05.22	Mansfield Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:2
05.04.22	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	1:0
23.03.21	Mansfield Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
14.11.20	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	1:2
11.01.20	Mansfield Town - Forest Green Rovers	3:4
19.10.19	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	2:2
23.02.19	Mansfield Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:0

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