The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fort Wayne 39.7%
Draw 25%
Boise 35.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.1%
26.3%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
27.4%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fort Wayne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Fort Wayne - Boise Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 4. Dias T. (C) 3. Vukovic A. 13. Rempel M. 12. Gafar K. 18. Nieto E. 86. Armas J. 11. Healy T. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R.
18. Kliewer J. (G) 5. Ndiaye M. 25. Dengler J. 16. Crull J. 2. Ricketts J. 66. Mayaka P. 6. Adams C. (C) 14. Moon N. 10. Kostyshyn D. 11. Moshobane T. 36. Barea J.
Substitutes
20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. (G) 33. Hagaman T. 6. Jordan J. 24. Lacey K. 9. Oyetunde D. 2. Smith J. 5. Sproat R. 23. Thomas J.
22. Amang T. 7. Bodily B. 8. Gasso D. 17. Hanson J. 99. Mazzola J. (G) 15. Yaro J. 23. Yehya O.
Coaches
Avery M.
MIller N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Moon N. 🟨,
13', Mayaka P. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Barea J. ⚽, Moon N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Adams C. ↓, Gasso D. ↑,
53', Awoudor C. 🟨,
63', Barea J. ↓, Bodily B. ↑,
67', Vukovic A. 🟨,
68', Moon N. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
70', Vukovic A. 🟨,
78', Nieto E. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
79', Gafar K. ↓, Lacey K. ↑,
79', Kliewer J. 🟨,
82', Moshobane T. ↓, Yehya O. ↑,
82', Ricketts J. ↓, Yaro J. ↑,
83', Neidlinger L. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,
84', Awoudor C. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
87', Rempel M. ↓, Sproat R. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Amang T. ⚽, Yehya O. (A),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Boise is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).
Fort Wayne has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Boise is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fort Wayne has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.