Match Info

USL League One

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fitzpatrick Stadium (Portland, ME) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	18:00	Disney+
Brazil	18:00	Disney+
Chile	18:00	Disney+
Colombia	16:00	Disney+
Mexico	15:00	Disney+
Peru	16:00	Disney+
Uruguay	18:00	Disney+
Usa	17:00	ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN
Venezuela	17:00	Disney+


	Portland Hearts of Pine		Boise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.75	1.82
	3.55	3.7	1.75
	3.97	4.26	1.71
	3.45	4.09	1.87	Watch
	3.9	4.05	1.69
	3.9	4.05	1.77	Watch
	3.6	3.85	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.85)	3.96 ↑ (3.4)	1.77 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Hearts of Pine
25.1%

Draw
23.1%

Boise
51.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.3%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Hearts of Pine's form might have worsened.

Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boise's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Hearts of Pine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Portland Hearts of Pine - Boise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 6. Mohamed M. 66. Green K. 22. Evans B. 99. Drack J. 11. Kamara J. 4. Letayf D. 98. Kidd M. (C) 24. Felipe 9. Camara A. 16. Gonzalez D.	18. Kliewer J. (G) 15. Yaro J. 25. Dengler J. (C) 16. Crull J. 2. Ricketts J. 66. Mayaka P. 5. Ndiaye M. 14. Moon N. 10. Kostyshyn D. 22. Amang T. 11. Moshobane T.
Substitutes
18. Barbosa D. 25. Espinosa E. 44. Faye S. 5. Lopez M. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 8. Poon-Angeron M. 7. Varela W.	6. Adams C. 8. Gasso D. 17. Hanson J. 9. Luan Brito 99. Mazzola J. (G) 3. Oyler K. 23. Yehya O.
Coaches
Murphy B.	MIller N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Letayf D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Letayf D. ↓, Poon-Angeron M. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Moshobane T. ⚽,
72', Kamara J. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Barbosa D. (A),
79', Ndiaye M. ↓, Gasso D. ↑,
80', Felipe ↓, Varela W. ↑,
82', Green K. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Amang T. ⚽, Ricketts J. (A),
90+5', Amang T. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Boise is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Boise holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Hearts of Pine has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Boise	32	17	7	8	51:41	10	58
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	32	8	10	14	48:58	-10	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
03.10.26	Spokane Velocity - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:3 ✺
26.09.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Sarasota Paradise	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTWW
- Athletic Boise
USL League One
03.10.26	Boise - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Corpus Christi - Boise	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Spokane Velocity - Boise	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Boise - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Boise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
17.07.26	Boise - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:1

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