Match Info

USL League One

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:30	Disney+
Brazil	20:30	Disney+
Chile	20:30	Disney+
Colombia	18:30	Disney+
Mexico	17:30	Disney+
Peru	18:30	Disney+
Uruguay	20:30	Disney+
Usa	19:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	19:30	Disney+


	Fort Wayne		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.60	4.10
	1.86	3.40	3.50
	1.66	4.04	4.61
	1.78	3.89	3.99	Watch
	1.71	3.80	4.05
	1.63	3.74	4.40	Watch
	1.70	3.60	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.86)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	4.09 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
53.2%

Draw
24.5%

Sarasota Paradise
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fort Wayne's performance.

Sarasota Paradise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (+3%)

Fort Wayne - Sarasota Paradise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 6. Jordan J. 4. Dias T. (C) 41. Musa J. 13. Rempel M. 18. Nieto E. 86. Armas J. 12. Gafar K. 11. Healy T. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R.	1. Sutton A. (G) 24. Kiingi K. 4. Watters D. (C) 5. Sogaard A. 36. Rosa A. 8. Walker A. 28. Gall R. 7. Bryant E. 16. Rodriguez A. 17. Bolanos J. 46. Roed S.
Substitutes
20. Burns N. 96. Echevarria A. (G) 33. Hagaman T. 25. Jiana M. 24. Lacey K. 17. Neidlinger L. 2. Smith J. 5. Sproat R. 23. Thomas J.	23. Amedeka R. (G) 50. Brulinski D. 2. Burlew R. 10. Cence M. 19. McLaughlin G. 27. O'Dwyer C. 52. Sanchez K. 32. Terzaghi E. 3. Valentine R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Rempel M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Bolanos J. ⚽,
27', Jordan J. 🟨,
28', Sutton A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Rosa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Bolanos J. ↓, Burlew R. ↑,
63', Rodriguez A. ↓, Terzaghi E. ↑,
75', Roed S. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
76', Jordan J. ↓, Neidlinger L. ↑,
77', Awoudor C. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
82', Armas J. 🟨,
85', Rempel M. 🟨,
85', Rempel M. ↓, Lacey K. ↑,
85', Gafar K. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
86', Nieto E. ↓, Jiana M. ↑,
87', Terzaghi E. 🟨,
89', Gall R. ↓, Valentine R. ↑,
89', Bryant E. ↓, O'Dwyer C. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 3, McLaughlin G. ⚽, Rosa A. (A),
90+8', Dias T. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 11th).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Sarasota Paradise could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fort Wayne holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fort Wayne has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Fort Wayne	32	12	9	11	47:42	5	45
11	Sarasota Paradise	32	11	7	14	49:51	-2	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
10.10.26	Union Omaha - Fort Wayne	0:1 ✺
07.10.26	Corpus Christi - Fort Wayne	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Fort Wayne - Forward Madison	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Charlotte Independence - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Fort Wayne - Naples	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTTT
- Sarasota Paradise
USL League One
10.10.26	Sarasota Paradise - Richmond Kickers	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Sarasota Paradise - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Sarasota Paradise	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Sarasota Paradise - Greenville Triumph	6:0 ✺
12.09.26	Forward Madison - Sarasota Paradise	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
14.03.26	Sarasota Paradise - Fort Wayne	2:2

Fort Wayne - Sarasota Paradise