Match Info

USL League One

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fort Wayne		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.35	2.85
	2.06	3.62	3.15
	2.22	3.66	2.9	Watch
	2.17	3.45	2.9
	2.11	4.06	3.05	Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)	2.95 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
43.2%

Draw
25.6%

Forward Madison
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.1%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Fort Wayne - Forward Madison Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 4. Dias T. (C) 41. Musa J. 13. Rempel M. 12. Gafar K. 18. Nieto E. 86. Armas J. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R. 11. Healy T.	1. Harms J. (G) 20. Carmichael K. 33. Toure K. 6. Kanyane G. 23. Munjoma E. 8. Segbers M. (C) 12. Torres R. 13. Humphrey T. 9. Carmichael R. 7. Bolma J. 11. Ngoubou C.
Substitutes
40. Bonnaire M. (G) 20. Burns N. 8. Garay J. 33. Hagaman T. 25. Jiana M. 6. Jordan J. 9. Oyetunde D. 23. Thomas J. 3. Vukovic A.	57. Augee B. 3. Edwards A. 14. Gyamfi S. 21. Karamoko H. 19. Manske T. (G) 4. McCamy C. 5. Shannon J.
Coaches
Avery M.	Glaeser M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Torres R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Humphrey T. ↓, Shannon J. ↑,
61', Segbers M. ↓, McCamy C. ↑,
61', Bolma J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
67', Nieto E. ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
70', Neidlinger L. 🟨,
74', Ngoubou C. ↓, Karamoko H. ↑,
74', Munjoma E. ↓, Gyamfi S. ↑,
79', Rempel M. ↓, Vukovic A. ↑,
79', Healy T. ↓, Jiana M. ↑,
80', Edwards A. 🟨,
88', Becher R. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Forward Madison is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Fort Wayne has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
26.09.26	Charlotte Independence - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Fort Wayne - Naples	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Fort Wayne - One Knoxville	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Fort Wayne	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Fort Wayne - New York Cosmos	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLWL
- Forward Madison
USL League One
26.09.26	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Forward Madison - AV Alta	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Forward Madison - Sarasota Paradise	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Corpus Christi - Forward Madison	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
17.06.26	Forward Madison - Fort Wayne	1:1

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