Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, FuboTV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Usa	beIN Connect, FuboTV, Tubi TV
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app


	Fortaleza		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	6.25	Watch
	1.63	3.5	6
	1.6	3.6	6
	1.63	3.54	6.98
	1.69	3.5	5.83	Watch
	1.55	3.5	6	Watch
	1.64	3.6	6.16	Watch
	1.6	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)	6.15 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
58.2%

Draw
26.5%

Rosario Central
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	26.7%	13.3%

Fortaleza - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Rosario will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (G) 2. Tinga (C) 13. Kuscevic B. 25. Cardona T. 6. Bruno Pacheco 17. Ze Welison 28. Pedro Augusto 18. Breno Lopes 7. Pochettino T. 22. Yago Pikachu 9. Lucero J.	1. Broun J. (C) 32. Coronel E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 2. Quintana C. 3. Sandez A. 16. Martinez M. 5. Ibarra F. 8. Gomez J. 7. Lovera M. 10. Malcorra I. 25. Copetti E.
Substitutes
77. Andrade K. 19. Britez E. 8. Emmanuel Martinez 36. Felipe Jonatan 35. Hercules 37. Kauan 88. Lucas Sasha 39. Machuca I. 21. Moises 79. Renato Kayzer 23. Santos (G) 4. Titi	6. Barbieri M. 48. Cervera T. 29. Dupuy L. 17. Giaccone L. 24. Gimenez J. 4. Martinez D. 30. O'Connor T. 45. Ortiz K. 21. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 49. Silva K. 23. Solari A. 20. Werner A. (G)
Coaches
Vojvoda J.	Lequi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Pochettino T. 🟨,
24', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Copetti E. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
46', Pedro Augusto ↓, Lucas Sasha ↑,
46', Ze Welison ↓, Hercules ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Mallo Blanco F. ⚽, Malcorra I. (A),
53', 1 - 1, Lucero J. ⚽, Yago Pikachu (A),
59', Malcorra I. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
59', Lovera M. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
63', Mallo Blanco F. ↓, Barbieri M. ↑,
65', Mallo Blanco F. 🟨,
65', Britez E. 🟨,
76', Breno Lopes ↓, Moises ↑,
77', Pochettino T. ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Yago Pikachu ⚽, Tinga (A),
79', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
79', Gomez J. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
82', Andrade K. 🟨,
85', Lucero J. ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Lucas Sasha ⚽,
90+4', Ibarra F. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Fortaleza in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rosario is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fortaleza to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
17.08.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.08.24	Rosario Central - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.08.24	Fortaleza - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
05.08.24	Cruzeiro - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Fortaleza - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WTWWW
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.24	Independiente - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.08.24	Rosario Central - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.08.24	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
05.08.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
31.07.24	Unión Santa Fe - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
14.08.24	Rosario Central - Fortaleza	1:1

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