Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 29

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cruzeiro		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.25	5.4
	1.54	4.43	6.29
	1.67	3.85	4.85	Watch
	1.56	4.27	6.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	4.26 ↑ (3.93)	5.62 ↓ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
60.7%

Draw
22.3%

Fortaleza
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

23.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

23.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cruzeiro - Fortaleza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cruzeiro (1.96) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Leo Aragao (G) 2. Kaua Moraes 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 36. Kaua Prates 29. Romero L. 16. Lucas Silva (C) 88. Christian 10. Matheus Pereira 99. Arroyo K. 9. Gabriel Barbosa	12. Brenno (G) 14. Mancuso E. 34. Gazal 33. Britez E. 6. Bruno Pacheco 88. Lucas Sasha 29. Rodrigo 7. Pochettino T. 9. Lucero J. (C) 80. Herrera J. 26. Breno Lopes
Substitutes
11. Bolasie Y. 21. Eduardo 14. Gamarra M. 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 34. Jonathan Jesus 7. Marquinhos 81. Otavio Costa (G) 20. Ryan Guilherme 5. Walace 94. Wanderson 12. William Furtado	16. Diogo Barbosa 28. Guilherme C. d. S. 10. Guzman Y. 99. Kayke 23. Leite H. (G) 38. Lucca Prior 11. Marinho 20. Matheus Rossetto 96. Moises 30. Pierre 2. Tinga 22. Yago Pikachu
Coaches
Jardim L.	Palermo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Rodrigo 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Arroyo K. (A),
26', Villalba L. 🟨,
35', Mancuso E. 🟨,
36', Pochettino T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Lucero J. 🟨,
63', Lucas Silva ↓, Eduardo ↑,
64', Herrera J. ↓, Moises ↑,
64', Rodrigo ↓, Pierre ↑,
64', Kaua Prates ↓, William Furtado ↑,
73', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
74', Lucero J. ↓, Kayke ↑,
84', Matheus Pereira ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
84', Christian ↓, Walace ↑,
86', Gazal 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Cruzeiro is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Kaiki (Yellow Cards) Kaio Jorge (Red Card) Matheus Henrique (Ribs Injury) Sinisterra L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fortaleza: Avila G. (Yellow Cards) Bareiro A. (Yellow Cards) Bareiro A. (Red Card) Britez E. (Yellow Cards) Bruno Pacheco (Thigh Injury) Deyverson (Yellow Cards) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Kuscevic B. (Yellow Cards) Kuscevic B. (Red Card) Pablo Roberto (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Cassio (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Allanzinho (Inactive) Benevenuto (Hamstring Injury) Lucas Crispim (Muscle Injury) Lucca Prior (Pelvis Injury) Tinga (Groin Injury) Weverson (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Cruzeiro - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
02.10.25	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTTLW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Juventude - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Fortaleza - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Fortaleza - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Fortaleza - Cruzeiro	0:2
05.08.24	Cruzeiro - Fortaleza	1:2
17.04.24	Fortaleza - Cruzeiro	1:1
18.11.23	Fortaleza - Cruzeiro	0:1
21.06.23	Cruzeiro - Fortaleza	0:1
26.10.19	Cruzeiro - Fortaleza	1:1
12.06.19	Fortaleza - Cruzeiro	2:1

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