Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, FuboTV
Chile	ESPN 2, ESPN
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	Fox Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA, FuboTV, Tubi TV
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app


	Rosario Central		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.55	2.8	3
	2.6	2.85	3
	2.63	2.83	3.28
	2.67	2.86	3.07	Watch
	2.45	2.88	2.9	Watch
	2.62	2.79	3.21	Watch
	2.6	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.37)	2.83 ↓ (3.23)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: fubo Sports Network

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
36.1%

Draw
33.2%

Fortaleza
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

31.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	73.9%	21.7%

Rosario Central - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broun J. (G) 32. Coronel E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 2. Quintana C. 3. Sandez A. 16. Martinez M. 5. Ibarra F. 8. Gomez J. 7. Lovera M. 13. Campaz J. 25. Copetti E.	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 19. Britez E. (C) 13. Kuscevic B. 25. Cardona T. 6. Bruno Pacheco 16. Matheus Rossetto 28. Pedro Augusto 11. Marinho 7. Pochettino T. 18. Breno Lopes 79. Renato Kayzer
Substitutes
6. Barbieri M. 48. Cervera T. 17. Giaccone L. 24. Gimenez J. 18. Lo Celso F. 10. Malcorra I. 4. Martinez D. 44. Modica A. 30. O'Connor T. 45. Ortiz K. 21. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 20. Werner A. (G)	77. Andrade K. 8. Emmanuel Martinez 36. Felipe Jonatan 35. Hercules 88. Lucas Sasha 39. Machuca I. 21. Moises 23. Santos (G) 2. Tinga 4. Titi 22. Yago Pikachu 17. Ze Welison
Coaches
Lequi M.	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Marinho ⚽,
4', Marinho ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
6', 1 - 1, Sandez A. ⚽, Mallo Blanco F. (A),
36', Britez E. 🟨,
43', Matheus Rossetto 🟨,
44', Mallo Blanco F. 🟨,
45+1', Cardona T. 🟨,
45+4', Quintana C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Lovera M. ↓, Malcorra I. ↑,
65', Pochettino T. ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
65', Renato Kayzer ↓, Moises ↑,
72', Copetti E. ↓, Modica A. ↑,
73', Martinez M. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
73', Quintana C. ↓, Barbieri M. ↑,
81', Yago Pikachu ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
82', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
85', Gomez J. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
87', Modica A. 🟨,
87', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
90', Campaz J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Rosario is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.08.24	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
05.08.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
31.07.24	Unión Santa Fe - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Rosario Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.24	Internacional RS - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLLT
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
10.08.24	Fortaleza - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
05.08.24	Cruzeiro - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Fortaleza - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Criciúma - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Fortaleza - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTW

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