The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortaleza CEIF 57%
Draw 26.8%
Boyacá Chicó 16.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.7%
22.5%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.2%
21.6%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.
Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boyacá Chicó's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-2%)
1. Silva M. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 18. Balanta J. 15. Cuero S. 14. Pico L. 8. Navarro S. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 11. Amaya A. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 33. Arroyo A.
23. Denis D. (G) 17. Caicedo O. 2. Saldana A. 24. Banguero A. 3. Quiceno J. 7. Montano I. 28. Diaz J. 10. Mena J. 18. Cabrera Y. 20. Valencia N. 6. Aedo A.
Substitutes
7. Martinez J. 5. Medina Obando J. 20. Orozco C. 22. Palacios S. 19. Pulicastro F. 3. Ramirez D. 12. Santander C. (G) 23. Sinisterra J. 10. Velasquez J.
5. Arroyo F. 1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 14. Campo Chara J. A. 19. Castillo J. 13. Martinez Y. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 8. Salazar S.
Coaches
Oliveros S.
Torres F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Rivas Torres R. D. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Montano I. ⚽, Aedo A. (A),
25', Aedo A. 🟨,
32', Mena J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Amaya A. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
67', Cajares J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
71', Mena J. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
71', Navarro S. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
79', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
81', Cabrera Y. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽, Sinisterra J. (A),
90', Banguero A. 🟨,
90+2', Diaz Y. 🟨,
90+6', Silva M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.
In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Boyacá Chicó is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Fortaleza is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).