The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortaleza CEIF 32.8%
Draw 31.7%
Independiente Santa Fe 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
29.9%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
30.1%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Santa Fe (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 18. Balanta J. 13. Pernia M. 14. Pico L. (C) 8. Navarro S. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 11. Amaya A. 29. Wilke T. 33. Arroyo A.
1. Mosquera A. (C) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 16. Torres D. 21. Murillo E. 14. Palacios L. 22. Mosquera E. 9. Fagundez F. 11. Rodallega H.
Substitutes
15. Cuero S. 20. Orozco C. 19. Pulicastro F. 3. Ramirez D. 21. Ramirez S. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 24. Salas J. 12. Santander C. (G) 10. Velasquez J.
12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 8. Fernandez O. 40. Palacios M. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 10. Zapata A.
Coaches
Oliveros S.
Repetto P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Murillo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Murillo E. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
63', Arroyo A. 🟨,
63', Pico L. 🟨,
70', Toscano Bassa K. D. 🟨,
72', Palacios L. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
78', Arroyo A. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
78', Wilke T. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
78', Amaya A. ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Salas J. ⚽,
82', Mosquera E. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
82', Torres D. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
82', Fagundez F. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
84', Navarro S. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Bustos N. ⚽,
90+6', Ramirez D. 🟨,
90+6', Diaz Y. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
90+7', Pernia M. 🟥,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
Recent performances by Fortaleza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santa Fe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).