Match Info

Date: 15 February 2020, Saturday


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.75	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.8	Watch
	4.25	3.9	1.78	Watch
	4.21	3.87	1.77
	4.33	3.99	1.81
	4.33	3.8	1.8	Watch
	4.38	3.94	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (4.1)	3.91 ↓ (3.94)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.4%

Draw
24.4%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.3%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

19.7%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Mönchengladbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.9%	8.3%	79.8%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (67 of 84 users predict this - 79.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.17% – 88.35%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German Bundesliga
08.02.20	Wolfsburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.02.20	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.02.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
26.01.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
18.01.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTLL
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
01.02.20	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2 ✺
25.01.20	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	3:1 ✺
17.01.20	Schalke 04 - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.20	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	2:1
10.01.20	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
22.09.19	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1
30.03.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
04.11.18	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0
German DFB Pokal
24.10.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:1
German Telekom Cup Summer
14.01.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0
German Bundesliga
26.01.13	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1
German DFB Pokal
31.10.12	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 OT

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