Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	19:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	14:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	04:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	19:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	19:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	14:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	20:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	14:30	Disney+
China	01:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	12:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	19:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	19:30	Viaplay
Finland	20:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Germany	19:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	20:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	17:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	23:00	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	00:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	20:30	Sport 1
Italy	19:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	22:30	Medianet
Malta	19:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	11:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	01:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	19:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	19:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	19:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	22:30	Tapmad
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	19:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	18:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	20:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	20:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	20:30	Shahid
Serbia	19:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	01:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	19:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	02:30	Coupang Play
Spain	19:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	19:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	19:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	20:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	20:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	18:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	13:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+
Vietnam	00:30	TV 360
International	17:30	Onefootball


	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.9
	2.78	3.35	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.71
	3.12	3.14	2.35	Watch
				Watch
	2.78	3.34	2.7	Watch
	2.33	3.5	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.42)	3.35 ↓ (3.66)	2.69 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
35.8%

Draw
28.6%

Freiburg
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	21.9%	34.4%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%). Freiburg will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 26.6% – 61%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Borussia M (4.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Borussia M (1.48) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Borussia M (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Freiburg (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 29. Scally J. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 20. Netz L. 27. Reitz R. (C) 16. Sander P. 6. Engelhardt Y. 17. Castrop J. 15. Tabakovic H. 10. Neuhaus F.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 30. Gunter C. 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 19. Beste J. 9. Holer L. 32. Grifo V. (C) 20. Adamu J.
Substitutes
22. Fraulo O. 5. Friedrich M. 34. Herrmann C. 18. Machino S. 1. Omlin J. (G) 28. Ranos G. 7. Stoger K. 26. Ullrich L. 40. Urbich J.	18. Dinkci E. 27. Hofler N. 5. Jung A. 33. Makengo J. 44. Manzambi J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 37. Rosenfelder M. 7. Scherhant D.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Holer L. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
54', Osterhage P. 🟨,
59', Elvedi N. 🟨,
63', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
64', Sander P. 🟨,
69', Tabakovic H. ↓, Urbich J. ↑,
69', Reitz R. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
79', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
79', Beste J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
81', Sander P. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
81', Neuhaus F. ↓, Ranos G. ↑,
82', Scally J. 🟨,
90', Schuster J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 0.

Borussia M is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Knee Injury) Honorat F. (Muscle Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Reyna G. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:6 ✺
21.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Stuttgart - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLWL
- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Bologna - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.25	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Freiburg - Basel	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.09.25	Werder Bremen - Freiburg	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
12.04.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	1:2
30.11.24	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
30.03.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:3
04.11.23	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3
04.03.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:0
11.09.22	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0
23.04.22	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3

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