Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sky Sports app


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.7
	2.4	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.52	3.65	2.84
	2.46	3.6	2.73	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.62	Watch
	2.42	3.72	2.68	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.48)	3.6 ↓ (3.67)	2.71 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
38.9%

Draw
26.2%

Hamburger SV
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Hamburg will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 12. Fridriksson V. 3. Hoffmann A. (C) 15. Oberdorf T. 34. Gavory N. 25. Zimmermann M. 6. Haag G. 11. Klaus F. 8. Johannesson I. 21. Rossmann T. 24. Kownacki D.	19. Raab M. (G) 8. Elfadli D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 23. Meffert J. 33. Katterbach N. 20. Richter M. 14. Reis L. 7. Dompe J. 27. Selke D. 9. Glatzel R.
Substitutes
23. Appelkamp S. 30. de Wijs J. 19. Iyoha E. 1. Kwasigroch R. (G) 39. Mbamba N. 18. Niemiec J. 22. Schmidt D. 10. van Brederode M. 9. Vermeij V.	5. Hadzikadunic D. 18. Jatta B. 17. Karabec A. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 12. Mickel T. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 21. Oztunali L. 10. Pherai I. 29. Sahiti E.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Dompe J. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
35', Fridriksson V. 🟨,
45', Schonlau S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gavory N. ↓, Iyoha E. ↑,
63', Richter M. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
65', Katterbach N. 🟨,
69', Klaus F. ↓, Niemiec J. ↑,
69', Rossmann T. ↓, van Brederode M. ↑,
74', Selke D. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
74', Dompe J. ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
78', Fridriksson V. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
78', Kownacki D. ↓, Vermeij V. ↑,
81', Haag G. 🟥,
83', 0 - 2, Glatzel R. (Pen),
85', Hoffmann A. 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Glatzel R. ⚽, Karabec A. (A),
90+2', Meffert J. ↓, Hadzikadunic D. ↑,
90+2', Katterbach N. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 1.

Fortuna in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hamburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Fortuna: Pejcinovic D. (Knee Injury) Siebert J. (Thigh Injury) Sobottka M. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Hamburg: Balde F. (Illness) Poreba L. (Illness)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.24	Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Ulm 1846 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWW
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
28.09.24	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Hamburger SV - Jahn Regensburg	5:0 ✺
31.08.24	Hamburger SV - Preußen Münster	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Hannover - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	2:0
29.09.23	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
31.03.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	2:2
17.09.22	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0
19.03.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	1:1
16.10.21	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
26.01.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	0:0

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