Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.7
	2.35	3.55	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.71	2.79
	2.44	3.48	2.73	Watch
	2.39	3.56	2.68	Watch
	2.43	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.02)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	2.7 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
39%

Draw
26.1%

Nürnberg
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Düsseldorf's form might have worsened.

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nürnberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Düsseldorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nürnberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	21.1%	31.6%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 3 - 50%). Nürnberg (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Fortuna (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Fortuna (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fortuna (1.42) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 6 - 60%). Nürnberg (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 15. Oberdorf T. 2. Daland J. 5. Heyer M. 19. Iyoha E. 8. El Azzouzi A. 6. Breithaupt T. 14. Alexandropoulos S. 24. Muslija F. 13. Itten C.	1. Reichert J. (G) 15. Drexler T. 4. Gruber F. (C) 24. Lochoshvili L. 21. Yilmaz B. 25. Becker F. O. 6. Markhiev A. 20. Demba P. 10. Justvan J. 18. Lubach R. 23. Zoma M. A.
Substitutes
9. Celar Z. 30. de Wijs J. 1. Lotka M. (G) 10. Rasmussen C. 22. Schmidt D. 4. Schmidt K. 46. Suso S.	7. Biron M. 17. Chaikhoun A. 33. Grimaldi A. 32. Janisch T. 44. Karafiat O. 31. Knoche R. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 41. Porstner E. 9. Telalovic S.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Markhiev A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Lubach R. ⚽, Zoma M. A. (A),
42', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Alexandropoulos S. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
61', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, El Azzouzi A. ⚽, Schmidt D. (A),
67', Iyoha E. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
70', Breithaupt T. 🟨,
77', Zimmermann M. ↓, Schmidt K. ↑,
77', Demba P. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Justvan J. (Pen),
81', Breithaupt T. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
81', Daland J. ↓, de Wijs J. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Rasmussen C. ⚽, El Azzouzi A. (A),
84', Zoma M. A. ↓, Knoche R. ↑,
84', Justvan J. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Becker F. O. ⚽,
88', Becker F. O. 🟨,
90+11', Thioune D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.

Fortuna is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nürnberg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Injury) Appelkamp S. (Muscle Injury) Lenz C. (Muscle Injury) Raimund L. (Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T. (Foot Injury) Danilo Soares (Thigh Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Maboulou N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna: Iyoha E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nürnberg: Lochoshvili L. (Injury) Markhiev A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Nürnberg - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWTW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
28.09.25	Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Nürnberg - Bochum	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Karlsruher - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Nürnberg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Preußen Münster - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg	3:3
01.12.24	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2
03.05.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg	3:1
02.12.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5
22.04.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0
German DFB Pokal
08.02.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 penalties
German 2 Bundesliga
15.10.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg	0:1

Upcoming Matches