Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:30	Disney+, ESPN, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	22:30	Fast Sports
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	20:30	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	21:30	Nova Sport
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:30	Disney+
Colombia	13:30	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	20:30	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	20:30	Match 4
Iceland	18:30	Viaplay
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	12:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	13:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 3
Saudi Arabia	21:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 6, Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	21:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	18:30	Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5	Watch
	1.57	4.4	5.25
	1.5	4.35	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.69	6.08
	1.09	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.51	4.35	5.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.74)	3.86 ↑ (3.75)	4.79 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
59.4%

Draw
22.5%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24.5%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schalke 04's performance.

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	8.3%	12.5%

Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 43. Ayhan M. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 24. Aouchiche A. 21. Ljubicic D. 9. Sylla M. 19. Karaman K. (C)	33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 3. Lenz C. 14. Alexandropoulos S. 6. Breithaupt T. 19. Iyoha E. 23. Appelkamp S. 20. Ljubicic M. 13. Itten C.
Substitutes
18. Antwi-Adjei C. 14. Bachmann J. 33. Becker V. 10. Dzeko E. 17. Gantenbein A. 7. Gomis C. 3. Leonard D. 22. Muller K. (G) 2. Sanchez F.	40. Anhari H. 2. Daland J. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 1. Lotka M. (G) 12. Lunddal V. 27. Paulina J. 7. Raimund L. 29. Sauck K.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Ende A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Karaman K. ⚽,
22', Breithaupt T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Sylla M. 🟨,
64', Breithaupt T. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
65', Lenz C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
68', Aouchiche A. 🟨,
69', Ljubicic D. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
71', Zimmermann M. ↓, Lunddal V. ↑,
81', Appelkamp S. ↓, Sauck K. ↑,
81', Ljubicic M. ↓, Paulina J. ↑,
82', Kurucay H. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
82', Sylla M. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
90+2', Sauck K. 🟨,
90+3', Lenz C. 🟨,
90+5', Aouchiche A. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 1.

Schalke is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fortuna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Schalke is a strong favorite.

We predict that Schalke will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:12. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.26	Paderborn - Schalke 04	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Schalke 04 - Preußen Münster	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Schweinfurt - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
24.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hertha Berlin	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	0:2
10.05.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	2:0
14.12.24	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
27.04.24	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
25.11.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	5:3
13.02.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	2:1
28.08.21	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:1

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