Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Elversberg		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.45	3.35	Watch
	2.19	3.7	3.57
	2.05	3.59	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.2
	2.18	3.51	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.06)	3.51 ↓ (3.63)	3.38 (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
45.1%

Draw
27%

Schalke 04
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

25.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Schalke 04 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Elversberg - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Schalke will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Schalke (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 43. Keidel F. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 6. Conde A. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 22. Pherai I. 29. Zimmerschied T. 24. Schnellbacher L.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. (C) 4. Kurucay H. 2. Sanchez F. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 7. Gomis C. 21. Ljubicic D. 24. Aouchiche A. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 3. Le Joncour F. 14. Malanga J. 2. Mickelson N. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D. 16. Pfeiffer L. 17. Schmahl F.	18. Antwi-Adjei C. 14. Bachmann J. 33. Becker V. 17. Gantenbein A. 37. Gruger M. 11. Lasme B. 3. Leonard D. 22. Muller K. (G) 35. Wallentowitz M.
Coaches
Wagner V.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Schnellbacher L. ⚽,
7', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
25', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, El-Faouzi S. ⚽, Becker T. (A),
29', Keidel F. ↓, Gyamerah J. ↑,
36', Conde A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Schnellbacher L. ↓, Mokwa Ntusu D. ↑,
51', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
54', Gomis C. ↓, Becker V. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Sylla M. ⚽, Ljubicic D. (A),
68', Conde A. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
68', Ljubicic D. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
69', Gunther L. ↓, Adam R. ↑,
78', Poreba L. ↓, Pfeiffer L. ↑,
82', Aouchiche A. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Elversberg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schalke has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Elversberg might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Elversberg: Conte B. (Injury) Dragon P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Ayhan M. (Yellow Cards) Becker V. (Knock) Dzeko E. (Shoulder Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Karaman K. (Yellow Cards) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Porath F. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Elversberg: Pherai I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Schalke: Karaman K. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.26	Hannover - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Hoffenheim - Elversberg	3:5 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Elversberg - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Greuther Fürth - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Elversberg - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWLW
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.26	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Schweinfurt - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Schalke 04 - Hannover	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:0
18.05.25	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:2
20.12.24	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:4
19.04.24	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:1
10.11.23	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:2

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