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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Sittard 29.2%
Draw 27.3%
Utrecht 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
26.3%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
26.1%
49.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
40%
60%
Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 35.2% โ 84.8%.
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 18. Limnios D. 4. Adewoye S. 44. Marquez I. (C) 80. Fosso R. 8. Dahlhaus J. 17. Lonwijk J. 52. Ihattaren M. 23. Brittijn P. 9. Sierhuis K. 7. Peterson K.
1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 3. van der Hoorn M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 27. Engwanda A. 14. Iqbal Z. 15. Blake A. 8. Bozdogan C. 21. Zechiel G. 9. Min D.
Substitutes
11. Aiko M. 46. Gbemou M. 19. Gladon P. 28. Hubner J. 21. Kerkez M. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 25. Martens N. (G) 26. Mendes H. 20. Michut E. 12. Pinto I. 77. Tunjic L.
25. Brouwer M. (G) 17. Demircan E. 40. Didden M. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 5. Finnsson K. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 91. Haller S. 26. Jonathans M. 55. Murkin D. 22. Rodriguez M. 46. van Ommeren J. 23. Vesterlund N.
Coaches
Buijs D.
Jans R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ihattaren M. ⚽,
24', Brittijn P. 🟨,
39', Limnios D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
46', Peterson K. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
50', Iqbal Z. 🟨,
54', Engwanda A. 🟨,
62', Min D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
63', Blake A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
63', Bozdogan C. ↓, Demircan E. ↑,
65', Ihattaren M. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
65', Lonwijk J. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
80', Iqbal Z. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
82', Limnios D. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
83', Michut E. 🟨,
88', Viergever N. ↓, Eerdhuijzen M. ↑,
90+6', Branderhorst M. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.
Fortuna Sittard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Utrecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Utrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Utrecht: El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: van Ottele S.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).