Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 3

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra


	Utrecht		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	6.5	Watch
	1.41	5	6.5
	1.4	4.9	7.3
	1.44	5.03	7.15
	1.53	4.32	5.64	Watch
	1.4	4.8	6.5
	1.42	5.11	7.09	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)	4.81 ↑ (4.39)	6.46 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
65.7%

Draw
19.7%

Excelsior
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

21.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	36%	4%

Utrecht - Excelsior Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 3. van der Hoorn M. (C) 40. Didden M. 16. El Karouani S. 27. Engwanda A. 7. Jensen V. 21. Zechiel G. 22. Rodriguez M. 9. Min D. 15. Blake A.	16. Raatsie C. (G) 17. Martens N. 4. Widell C. (C) 5. Henderikx S. 12. Zagre A. 10. Naujoks N. 6. Carlen A. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 23. Yegoian I. 11. de Regt G. 29. van Duinen M.
Substitutes
8. Bozdogan C. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 17. Demircan E. 5. Finnsson K. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 91. Haller S. 26. Jonathans M. 55. Murkin D. 6. van den Berg D. 46. van Ommeren J. 23. Vesterlund N. 24. Viergever N.	21. Booth Z. 2. Bronkhorst I. 24. Cairo G. 40. Holla T. (G) 3. Meissen R. 9. Wlodarczyk S. 7. Yoon D.
Coaches
Jans R.	den Uil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Min D. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', van der Hoorn M. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
58', 3 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
60', van Duinen M. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
61', Martens N. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
61', Engwanda A. ↓, van Ommeren J. ↑,
67', 4 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, Blake A. (A),
68', Min D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
68', Zechiel G. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
71', Yegoian I. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
71', Naujoks N. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
76', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Yoon D. ↑,
79', Rodriguez M. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Yoon D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.

Utrecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Excelsior's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Excelsior has had a series of away games.

In this match, Utrecht is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Utrecht: El Arguioui R. (Knee Injury) Iqbal Z. (Knee Injury) Jenner I. (Injury)

There will not play in Excelsior: Bergraaf J. (Inactive) Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Schouten L. (Inactive) Tielemans M. (Inactive) van Gassel S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Utrecht: Mukeh J. (Injury)

We predict that Utrecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:19. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.08.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Utrecht - Servette	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.08.25	Utrecht - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.08.25	Servette - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.25	Excelsior - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Dordrecht - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	NAC Breda - Excelsior	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	ASWH - Excelsior	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
27.01.24	Excelsior - Utrecht	1:1
12.11.23	Utrecht - Excelsior	2:2
25.01.23	Utrecht - Excelsior	1:0
02.10.22	Excelsior - Utrecht	0:1
23.02.19	Utrecht - Excelsior	0:0
30.11.18	Excelsior - Utrecht	3:3
04.02.18	Excelsior - Utrecht	2:2

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