Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom (Mostar)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 4


	Zrinjski Mostar		Utrecht

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.73
	4.7	3.7	1.7
	4.76	3.75	1.75
	4.25	3.34	1.89	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.62	Watch
	4.57	3.86	1.76	Watch
	4.2	4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.75)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
20.8%

Draw
25.1%

Utrecht
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

24.1%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

24.2%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.8%	5.3%	86%

Zrinjski Mostar - Utrecht Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Utrecht will win (49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 96.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Utrecht will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Karacic G. (G) 50. Memija K. 27. Jakovljevic S. 55. Dujmovic D. 12. Mamic P. 21. Savic I. 20. Ivancic A. 77. Abramovic K. 22. Pranjic J. 9. Mikic L. 99. Bilbija N. (C)	1. Barkas V. (G) 55. Murkin D. 24. Viergever N. (C) 3. van der Hoorn M. 23. Vesterlund N. 7. Jensen V. 27. Engwanda A. 21. Zechiel G. 15. Blake A. 26. Jonathans M. 9. Min D.
Substitutes
4. Barisic H. 3. Filipovic B. 6. Karacic D. 10. Kis T. 40. Ljubic M. (G) 5. Masic I. 14. Sakota M. 8. Sikanjic M. 23. Surdanovic S. 17. Susak A. 24. Velkovski D. 19. Vranjkovic M.	8. Bozdogan C. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 17. Demircan E. 40. Didden M. 16. El Karouani S. 5. Finnsson K. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 91. Haller S. 2. Horemans S. 22. Rodriguez M. 6. van den Bergh D. 46. van Ommeren J.
Coaches
Stimac I.	Jans R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Vesterlund N. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Min D. (Pen),
42', Abramovic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Blake A. ↓, El Karouani S. ↑,
46', Vesterlund N. ↓, Horemans S. ↑,
56', Jakovljevic S. 🟨,
56', Memija K. ↓, Vranjkovic M. ↑,
62', Jonathans M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
64', Pranjic J. ↓, Sakota M. ↑,
64', Bilbija N. ↓, Kis T. ↑,
69', Mamic P. 🟨,
75', El Karouani S. 🟨,
76', Jakovljevic S. ↓, Masic I. ↑,
76', Ivancic A. ↓, Filipovic B. ↑,
77', Vranjkovic M. 🟨,
78', Min D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Jensen V. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
88', van der Hoorn M. 🟨,
89', Murkin D. ↓, Finnsson K. ↑,
90+4', Mamic P. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Zrinjski have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Utrecht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Utrecht is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zrinjski won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Zrinjski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Utrecht - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
17.08.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Široki Brijeg	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Breiðablik - Zrinjski Mostar	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Breiðablik	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Slovan Bratislava	2:2 ✺
22.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTTL
- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
17.08.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Utrecht - Servette	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.08.25	Utrecht - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.08.25	Servette - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
31.07.25	Utrecht - Sheriff Tiraspol	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
01.08.19	Zrinjski Mostar - Utrecht	2:1 ET
25.07.19	Utrecht - Zrinjski Mostar	1:1

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