Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.65
	5	3.8	1.65
	5	3.75	1.66	Watch
	5.23	4.04	1.67
	5.23	4.04	1.67
	4.75	3.7	1.55
	4.7	3.8	1.66	Watch
	4.7	3.65	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.86)	3.82 ↓ (3.93)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
18.7%

Draw
24.4%

Saarbrücken
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

24%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.2%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Freiburg II aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Freiburg II - Saarbrücken Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Jantunen J. (G) 23. Fahrner P. 13. Muller S. 11. Stark J. 48. Yilmaz B. 42. Marino L. 36. Ambros L. 5. Rudlin F. 8. Lienhard P. 28. Johansson R. 29. Breunig M.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 29. Boeder L. 8. Zeitz M. 14. Uaferro B. 7. Rizzuto C. 33. Kerber L. 6. Sontheimer P. 19. Gaus M. 25. Naifi A. 10. Rabihic K. 11. Biada J.
Substitutes
18. Al Ghaddioui H. 25. Bichsel J. 19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 17. Fallmann P. 33. Hornung S. (G) 21. Lee Ji-Han 30. Pellegrino G. 20. Worner M.	17. Becker D. 9. Brunker K. 23. Civeja T. 21. Di Michele Sanchez F. 20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 31. Neudecker R. 30. Paterok T. (G) 22. Stehle S. F.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Ziehl R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 0.

Freiburg II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Saarbrücken is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Freiburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Saarbrücken have a series of home games.

In this match Saarbrücken is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
03.12.23	Jahn Regensburg - Freiburg II	3:2 ✺
28.11.23	Freiburg II - Hallescher	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Ulm 1846 - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Freiburg II - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German DFB Pokal
06.12.23	Saarbrücken - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
02.12.23	Saarbrücken - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
29.11.23	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Hallescher - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Saarbrücken - Dynamo Dresden	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.03.23	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	1:1
01.10.22	Saarbrücken - Freiburg II	2:2
14.05.22	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	1:1
11.12.21	Saarbrücken - Freiburg II	1:0
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.10.19	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	1:3
01.12.18	Saarbrücken - Freiburg II	3:0
03.08.18	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	0:1

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