Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 31

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Orsato D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	Sky Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Frosinone		Bologna

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.95	Watch
	4	3.5	1.9
	3.9	3.5	1.95	Watch
	4.21	3.6	1.98
	4.21	3.57	1.95
	4	3.5	1.91
	4.19	3.62	2	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.78)	3.55 ↓ (3.63)	1.95 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
23.7%

Draw
27%

Bologna
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.1%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

25.9%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Bologna aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	15.1%	75.5%

Frosinone - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 5 - 9.4%). Bologna will win (votes: 40 - 75.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 63.9% – 87.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Turati S. (G) 33. Bonifazi K. 6. Romagnoli S. 5. Okoli C. 19. Zortea N. 45. Barrenechea E. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 32. Valeri E. 18. Soule M. 12. Reinier 70. Cheddira W.	28. Skorupski L. (G) 3. Posch S. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Calafiori R. 15. Kristiansen V. 8. Freuler R. 20. Aebischer M. 7. Orsolini R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 56. Saelemaekers A. 9. Zirkzee J.
Substitutes
7. Baez J. 4. Brescianini M. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 29. Ghedjemis F. 27. Ibrahimovic A. 9. Kaio Jorge 17. Kvernadze G. 20. Lirola P. 3. Marchizza R. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 8. Seck D.	23. Bagnolini N. (G) 18. Castro S. 16. Corazza T. 29. De Silvestri L. 17. El Azzouzi O. 80. Fabbian G. 4. Ilic M. 10. Karlsson J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 11. Ndoye D. 34. Ravaglia F. (G) 82. Urbanski K.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Motta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
43', Romagnoli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
66', Reinier ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
66', Valeri E. ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
69', Aebischer M. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
71', Kristiansen V. 🟨,
77', Orsolini R. ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
77', Kristiansen V. ↓, Lykogiannis C. ↑,
77', Cheddira W. ↓, Seck D. ↑,
81', Zirkzee J. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
85', Soule M. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
86', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Garritano L. ↑,
89', Lykogiannis C. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 2.

Frosinone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bologna is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bologna is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
30.03.24	Genoa - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Frosinone - Lazio	2:3 ✺
09.03.24	Sassuolo - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Frosinone - Lecce	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Juventus - Frosinone	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLTL
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
01.04.24	Bologna - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
15.03.24	Empoli - Bologna	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bologna - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Atalanta - Bologna	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Bologna - Verona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.10.23	Bologna - Frosinone	2:1
27.01.19	Bologna - Frosinone	0:4
26.08.18	Frosinone - Bologna	0:0
03.02.16	Frosinone - Bologna	1:0
20.09.15	Bologna - Frosinone	1:0
Italian Serie B
02.05.15	Frosinone - Bologna	2:1
13.12.14	Bologna - Frosinone	2:2

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