Match Info

Coppa Italia - Semi-finals

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSPORTS+ Plus, Fox Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:00	Paramount+
Austria	21:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	TLN, VIVA
Chile	16:00	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Ecuador	14:00	Canal del Futbol
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Start
Honduras	13:00	Deportes TV
Hungary	21:00	Arena 4, Net4+
India	00:30	GXR World
Indonesia	02:00	TVRI, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	Canale 5, Infinity+
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazaqstan TV
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	KTRK Sports
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	VG+
Peru	14:00	DirecTV Sports
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV2, Sport TV5
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:00	STC TV
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	Sport Bladet Play
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:00	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
United Arab Emirates	23:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby
Uruguay	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
International	19:00	DirecTV Sports


	Empoli		Bologna

	1	X	2
	7	3.7	1.55
	5	3.4	1.68
	6.9	3.7	1.58	Watch
	4.49	3.54	1.93
	6.89	3.8	1.56	Watch
	5	3.3	1.73
	7.17	3.73	1.54
	7	3.75	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↑ (4.48)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
15.5%

Draw
26.4%

Bologna
58.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.3%

27.3%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

27%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli's form might have worsened.

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bologna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bologna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	2.9%	91.4%

Empoli - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 22. De Sciglio M. 35. Marianucci L. 31. Tosto L. 11. Gyasi E. (C) 36. Bacci J. 20. Kovalenko V. 13. Cacace L. 17. Solbakken O. 10. Fazzini J. 29. Colombo L.	1. Skorupski L. (G) 14. Calabria D. 31. Beukema S. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 8. Freuler R. 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 11. Ndoye D. 24. Dallinga T.
Substitutes
98. Brancolini F. (G) 24. Ebuehi T. 99. Esposito Se. 2. Goglichidze S. 5. Grassi A. 90. Konate I. 18. Kouame C. 3. Pezzella G. 7. Sambia J. 23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 21. Viti M.	20. Aebischer M. 23. Bagnolini N. (G) 28. Cambiaghi N. 15. Casale N. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 17. El Azzouzi O. 5. Erlic M. 80. Fabbian G. 2. Holm E. 22. Lykogiannis C. 6. Moro N. 39. Pedrola E. 18. Pobega T. 34. Ravaglia F. (G)
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Orsolini R. ⚽, Odgaard J. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Dallinga T. ⚽, Ndoye D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bacci J. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
46', Tosto L. ↓, Pezzella G. ↑,
51', 0 - 3, Dallinga T. ⚽, Ndoye D. (A),
62', Solbakken O. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
62', Marianucci L. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
66', Calabria D. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
75', Orsolini R. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
75', Odgaard J. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
76', Fazzini J. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
82', Freuler R. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
82', Ndoye D. ↓, Aebischer M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 1.

Recent matches Empoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bologna in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Empoli have a series of guest games.

In this match Bologna is a favorite.

There will not play in Empoli: Anjorin F. (Thigh Injury) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury) Maleh Y. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: De Silvestri L. (Illness) Lykogiannis C. (Ankle Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Empoli won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:16 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Bologna - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.45%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
29.03.25	Como - Empoli	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Torino - Empoli	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Empoli - Roma	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Genoa - Empoli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
26.02.25	Juventus - Empoli	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 TLLTW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
29.03.25	Venezia - Bologna	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Bologna - Lazio	5:0 ✺
09.03.25	Verona - Bologna	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Bologna - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Bologna - Milan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.01.25	Empoli - Bologna	1:1
31.08.24	Bologna - Empoli	1:1
15.03.24	Empoli - Bologna	0:1
01.10.23	Bologna - Empoli	3:0
04.05.23	Empoli - Bologna	3:1
17.09.22	Bologna - Empoli	0:1
06.02.22	Bologna - Empoli	0:0

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