Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Frosinone		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.9	5.15
	1.66	3.89	4.93	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.6
	1.72	3.83	4.79	Watch
	1.7	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	3.75 ↓ (4.19)	4.85 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
55.7%

Draw
25%

Reggiana
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.1%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

The chances for Reggiana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frosinone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	5.6%	0%

Frosinone - Reggiana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Frosinone will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 2. Cittadini G. 30. Monterisi I. 79. Bracaglia G. 16. Cichella M. 10. Gelli F. 7. Ghedjemis F. 8. Koutsoupias I. 17. Kvernadze G. 28. Zilli M.	12. Seculin A. (G) 2. Papetti A. 4. Rozzio P. 17. Libutti L. 23. Rover M. 8. Charlys 16. Reinhart T. 3. Bozzolan A. 80. Girma N. 90. Portanova M. 11. Gondo C.
Substitutes
3. Calvani G. 19. Corrado N. 6. Gelli J. 11. Gori L. 18. Grosso F. 12. Lolic E. (G) 5. Marchizza R. 24. Ndow A. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 9. Raimondo A. 90. Vergani E.	57. Belardinelli L. 10. Bozhanaj K. 22. Enza M. (G) 93. Lambourde M. 44. Mendicino L. 9. Novakovich A. 27. Pavanati A. 14. Quaranta D. 21. Saro G. (G) 15. Suarez M. 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Dionigi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Reinhart T. 🟨,
39', Rover M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Kvernadze G. ⚽, Cichella M. (A),
65', Bozzolan A. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
69', Gelli F. 🟨,
70', Zilli M. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
74', Charlys 🟨,
74', Charlys ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
75', Girma N. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
76', Gelli F. ↓, Marchizza R. ↑,
79', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
80', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
80', Portanova M. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
86', Bracaglia G. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
86', Kvernadze G. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 14).

Frosinone is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Reggiana has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Frosinone is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Frosinone: Calo G. (Yellow Cards) Kone B. L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M. (Inactive) Bonetti S. (Inactive) Urso O. (Inactive)

We predict that Frosinone will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
17.01.26	Monza - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Frosinone - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Empoli - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Frosinone - Spezia	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pescara - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWTWW
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
17.01.26	Reggiana - Cesena	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Reggiana - Venezia	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Sampdoria - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Pescara - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Reggiana - Padova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Reggiana - Frosinone	0:1
16.02.25	Frosinone - Reggiana	1:1
20.10.24	Reggiana - Frosinone	2:0
02.04.21	Frosinone - Reggiana	0:0
15.12.20	Reggiana - Frosinone	1:2

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