Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Ferrieri Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Frosinone		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.6
	1.68	3.55	5.1
	1.7	3.6	4.7
	1.74	3.82	5.17
	1.67	3.6	5.25
	1.7	3.82	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	3.71 ↑ (3.3)	4.88 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Frosinone
55.3%

Draw
25.4%

Ternana
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frosinone's performance.

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	4%	12%

Frosinone - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: Frosinone will win (42 of 50 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.84% – 94.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Frosinone has the most likely position - 1 (49.9%), has project points - 69, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a good chance of promoted (75%), has a chance of win league (50%).

Ternana has the most likely position - 10 (7.53%), has project points - 51, has currently - 26, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 36, importance 55, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 2.

Recent matches Frosinone is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ternana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Frosinone is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.12.22	Genoa - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Frosinone - Pisa	0:0 ✺
08.12.22	Reggina - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
04.12.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Frosinone - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWTT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.12.22	Ternana - Como	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ternana	0:0 ✺
07.12.22	Ternana - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Venezia - Ternana	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Pisa - Ternana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.22	Frosinone - Ternana	3:2
Italian Serie B
18.04.22	Ternana - Frosinone	4:4
04.12.21	Frosinone - Ternana	1:1
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Frosinone - Ternana	2:0
Italian Serie B
25.03.18	Ternana - Frosinone	0:0
24.10.17	Frosinone - Ternana	4:2
22.04.17	Ternana - Frosinone	2:0

Upcoming Matches