Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	2.92	3.2	2.32	Watch
	3.28	3.22	2.41
	2.98	3.28	2.36	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.3
	3.06	3.36	2.34	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.46)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	2.37 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
31.8%

Draw
28.6%

Frosinone
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.5%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Südtirol-Alto Adige's form might have worsened.

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	38.5%	53.8%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Frosinone will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Frosinone (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 50%). Frosinone (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adamonis M. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 5. Masiello A. 34. Veseli F. 23. Davi F. 21. Tait F. (C) 18. Tronchin S. 17. Casiraghi D. 7. Zedadka K. 9. Pecorino E. 33. Merkaj S.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 3. Calvani G. 79. Bracaglia G. 14. Calo G. 10. Gelli F. 8. Koutsoupias I. 40. Fini S. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.
Substitutes
3. Bordon F. 1. Borra D. (G) 46. Brik D. 89. Crnigoj D. 26. Frigerio M. R. 4. Mancini D. 6. Martini J. 19. Pietrangeli N. 13. Sabatini C. 62. Theiner D. (G) 11. Tonin R. 99. Verdi S.	99. Barcella K. 16. Cichella M. 19. Corrado N. 80. Fiori A. 6. Gelli J. 7. Ghedjemis F. 12. Lolic E. (G) 32. Masciangelo E. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.
Coaches
Castori F.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Raimondo A. ⚽,
30', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
38', Kvernadze G. 🟨,
40', Pecorino E. 🟨,
45+1', Gelli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
46', Gelli F. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
46', El Kaouakibi H. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
50', Monterisi I. 🟨,
60', Casiraghi D. (Penalty Awarded),
60', 1 - 1, Pecorino E. ⚽,
62', Calo G. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Calo G. ⚽,
69', Fini S. ↓, Ghedjemis F. ↑,
75', Tait F. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
75', Masiello A. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
79', Tronchin S. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
80', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Cichella M. (A),
88', Merkaj S. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
89', Koutsoupias I. 🟨,
90+2', Calo G. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
90+7', Bordon F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1.

Recent performances by Südtirol have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Frosinone is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Südtirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M. (Inactive) Cragno A. (Injury) Davi S. (Inactive) Molina S. (Inactive) Odogwu R. (Inactive) Pietrangeli N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Cittadini G. (Injury) Corrado N. (Injury) Marchizza R. (Inactive) Zilli M. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Sudtirol: 2.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Südtirol-Alto Adige - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.48%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Frosinone - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.99%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
18.03.26	Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pescara	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWT
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.03.26	Frosinone - Bari	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Cesena - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Frosinone - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
04.03.26	Frosinone - Pescara	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Catanzaro - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.09.25	Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2
25.01.25	Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:3
30.10.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone	1:1
22.04.23	Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
04.12.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone	1:1
Coppa Italia
12.08.18	Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2

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