Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, SuperSport Football
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Disney+, SportyNet
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	20:00	MyTV
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	10:00	Disney+
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	18:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	20:00	ANTV, Vidio
Iraq	16:00	Almanasa
Italy	15:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Suriname	10:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	16:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Frosinone		Como

	1	X	2
	6.25	5.00	1.44
	5.75	5.00	1.47
	6.25	4.80	1.41	Watch
	6.34	5.30	1.48
	5.85	4.6	1.52	Watch
	6.15	4.95	1.46
	6.31	5.05	1.46
	6.00	5.40	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.11 ↑ (5.25)	5.01 ↑ (4.07)	1.46 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
15.6%

Draw
19%

Como
65.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.2%

23.4%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.6%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Como's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Frosinone - Como Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Como (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 3. Calvani G. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 79. Bracaglia G. 73. Masini P. 14. Calo G. 7. Ghedjemis F. 10. Schmid R. 17. Kvernadze G. 9. Raimondo A.	1. Butez J. (G) 27. Couto Y. 4. Ramon J. 99. Chalobah T. 3. Valle A. 6. Milla L. 7. Da Cunha L. (C) 11. Diao A. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 9. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
25. Akpoguma K. 5. Amey W. 11. Birligea D. 89. Bobcek T. 16. Cichella M. 2. Cittadini G. 91. Desplanches S. (G) 34. El Azzouzi A. 74. Fayed O. 40. Fini S. 70. Hasa L. 12. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Tchato E. 24. Zerbin A.	42. Addai J. 8. Caqueret M. 13. Dossena A. 18. Goldaniga E. 16. Kaiki 53. Kambwala W. 90. Kean M. 2. Kempf M. O. 30. Liberali M. 5. Perrone M. 21. Ricci S. 17. Rodriguez J. 97. Sanchez R. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Alvini M.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Calo G. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
34', Couto Y. 🟨,
45+1', Kvernadze G. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Kvernadze G. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Da Cunha L. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
46', Douvikas A. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
46', Baturina M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
53', Monterisi I. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
56', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
73', Milla L. ↓, Perrone M. ↑,
73', Valle A. ↓, Kaiki ↑,
79', Calo G. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
80', Kvernadze G. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
88', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Amey W. ↑,
88', Schmid R. ↓, El Azzouzi A. ↑,
90+2', Raimondo A. 🟨,
90+5', Diao A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 4.

In recent outings, Frosinone has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Como is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Como may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Como as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Doubtful / questionable for Frosinone: Grillitsch F. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Frosinone has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:3 (averaging 1.7:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Frosinone against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1.5:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	9	20
6	Frosinone	8	4	2	2	17:13	4	14

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 5.43% Frosinone: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Genoa - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Sassuolo - Frosinone	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Fiorentina - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	Frosinone - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWLWL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
14.09.26	Como - Parma	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Como - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
04.09.26	Genoa - Como	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Udinese - Como	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.02.23	Como - Frosinone	0:2
03.09.22	Frosinone - Como	2:0
16.02.22	Frosinone - Como	1:2
17.09.21	Como - Frosinone	0:2
Coppa Italia
07.08.16	Frosinone - Como	3:0
17.08.14	Frosinone - Como	0:1 penalties

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