Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 8

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)


	Amorebieta		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.35	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3.14	3.33
	2.31	3.24	3.13	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.37)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)	3.15 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
40%

Draw
30.1%

Cartagena
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Amorebieta - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 24. Gaya J. 4. Manu 16. Lasure D. 20. Sibo K. 8. Moran E. 27. Quintero L. 10. Edwards R. 7. Dorrio J. 29. Da Graca C. M.	1. Martinez M. (G) 16. Calero I. 4. Alcala P. 5. Verdu G. 33. Sola A. 10. Hevel H. 8. Munoz L. 18. Musto D. 12. Narvaez J. 9. Ortuno A. 11. Juan Carlos
Substitutes
21. Carbonell A. 14. Eraso J. 28. Garreta F. 9. Jauregi E. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 22. Morcillo J. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I.	32. Alamo J. 23. Alarcon T. 35. Ayllon I. 19. Embalo U. 14. Fontan J. 21. Jansson I. 24. Jony 29. Lauti 13. Raul C. (G) 17. Rico M.
Coaches
Mujika H.	Calero J.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cartagena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cartagena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Amorebieta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
24.09.23	Villarreal B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Amorebieta - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Espanyol - Amorebieta	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLLW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
22.09.23	Cartagena - Eibar	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Valladolid - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Villarreal B - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
25.08.23	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.05.22	Cartagena - Amorebieta	5:0
16.10.21	Amorebieta - Cartagena	2:3

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