Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 11

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport 3


	Leganés		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.75	3.4	5	Watch
	1.78	3.51	5.51
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	1.71	3.32	5.7	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 (1.75)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	5.19 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
53.7%

Draw
28.1%

Amorebieta
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

29%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

28.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97%	0%	3%

Leganés - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: Leganés will win (64 of 66 users predict this - 96.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alcoado D. J. C. (G) 2. Nyom A. 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. 15. Franquesa E. 10. Raba D. 17. Neyou Y. 24. Chicco J. 23. Djouahra N. 19. Garcia D. 9. de la Fuente M.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 15. Nunez A. 24. Gaya J. 4. Manu 16. Lasure D. 7. Dorrio J. (C) 10. Edwards R. 20. Sibo K. 22. Morcillo J. 14. Eraso J. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
4. Abzi D. 33. Aguilar Lopez G. 36. Alvin (G) 22. Arambarri A. 27. Garcia N. 1. Jimenez D. (G) 5. Josema 8. Perea L. 7. Portillo F. 11. Poveda D. 20. Undabarrena I. 28. Urena O.	19. Aviles J. 21. Carbonell A. 29. Da Graca C. M. 28. Garreta F. 1. Marino U. (G) 27. Quintero L. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Mujika H.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Leganés is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amorebieta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leganés is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leganés won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
07.10.23	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
04.10.23	Burgos - Leganés	1:0 ✺
29.09.23	Leganés - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Mirandés - Leganés	1:3 ✺
17.09.23	Elche - Leganés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
08.10.23	Amorebieta - Eibar	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Ferrol - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Amorebieta - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Villarreal B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Amorebieta - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.22	Amorebieta - Leganés	1:3
18.09.21	Leganés - Amorebieta	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.01.14	Leganés - Amorebieta	4:0
31.08.13	Amorebieta - Leganés	0:0

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