Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Amorebieta		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.87	2.95	2.37
	3.4	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.26
	3.54	3.14	2.34
	3.1	2.9	2.4	Watch
	3.42	3.08	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.09)	3.07 ↑ (3.02)	2.31 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
28.8%

Draw
30.6%

Las Palmas
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

31.2%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

21.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Las Palmas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amorebieta - Las Palmas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Amorebieta has the most likely position - 21 (18.15%), has project points - 44, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 6 (9.09%), has project points - 63, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Las Palmas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
05.12.21	Málaga - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	CE Europa - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.21	Amorebieta - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
14.11.21	Amorebieta - Lugo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTLL
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
05.12.21	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Vélez - Las Palmas	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.21	Leganés - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
20.11.21	Málaga - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
13.11.21	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLL

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