Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 8

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Musial T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Górnik Zabrze		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.35	3.45	3.14
	2.2	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.26	3.4	3.13	Watch
	2.27	3.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.05)	3.33 ↓ (3.36)	3.02 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
41%

Draw
28.1%

Ruch Chorzów
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	21.4%	14.3%

Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bielica D. (G) 96. Dadok R. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 26. Janicki R. 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Yokota D. 55. Czyz S. 10. Podolski L. 6. Rasak D. 7. Kapralik A. 9. Musiolik S.	1. Buchalik M. (G) 26. Michalski K. 4. Szur P. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 77. Bartolewski M. 70. Kozak M. 8. Sikora P. 6. Swedrowski T. 20. Szymanski S. 5. Wojtowicz T. 95. Szczepan D.
Substitutes
20. Chmarek M. 21. Krawczyk P. 17. Lukoszek K. 16. Olkowski P. 8. Pacheco D. 2. Sekulic B. 25. Siplak M. 5. Szczesniak K. 32. Szromnik M. (G)	25. Baranowski P. 82. Bielecki J. (G) 27. Dlugosz W. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 7. Letniowski J. 16. Sedlak J. 88. Skwierczynski K. 18. Steczyk D. 71. Szywacz R.
Coaches
Urban J.	Skrobacz J.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 2.

Recent matches Górnik Zabrze is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ruch Chorzów is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Górnik Zabrze could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Górnik Zabrze will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Nascimento F. (Injury)

There will not play in Ruch Chorzów: Barnowski D. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Zabrze won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.09.23	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	4:1 ✺
18.08.23	Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLTWT
- Ruch Chorzów
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Piast Gliwice - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Ruch Chorzów - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
14.08.23	Warta Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
01.09.22	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze	0:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.02.16	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	0:2
13.09.15	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze	1:0
06.04.15	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	2:2
04.10.14	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
04.05.14	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	2:0
07.12.13	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze	2:1

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