Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 25

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion miejski w Katowicach (Katowice)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	GKS Katowice		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.32	3.55	2.72
	2.39	3.67	2.88
	2.5	3.73	2.64	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.7
	2.44	3.63	2.73	Watch
	2.18	3.17	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.18)	3.52 ↑ (3.17)	2.74 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
39.5%

Draw
26.5%

Lechia Gdańsk
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	16.7%	22.2%

GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Lechia will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Katowice: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Katowice (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Straczek R. (G) 23. Wasielewski M. 6. Klemenz L. 2. Kuusk M. 97. Jirka E. 22. Milewski S. 77. Kowalczyk M. 8. Galan B. 70. Wdowiak M. 27. Nowak B. (C) 80. Shkurin I.	18. Paulsen A. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T. 15. Dyachuk M. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 10. Kapic R. (C) 5. Zhelizko I. 79. Sezonienko K. 99. Neugebauer T. 8. Cirkovic A. 90. Kurminowski D.
Substitutes
11. Blad A. 24. Gruszkowski K. 21. Kokosinski J. 1. Kudla D. (G) 19. Lukasiak K. 15. Markovic E. 14. Olsen M. 26. Rasak D. 16. Rogala G. 10. Wedrychowski M.	49. Bambecki I. 21. Glogowski M. 23. Kalahur M. 2. Kludka B. 76. Mavraj I. 4. Pllana B. 29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G)
Coaches
Gorak R.	Carver J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Wdowiak M. ⚽, Milewski S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodin M. ↓, Pllana B. ↑,
48', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
51', Pllana B. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Shkurin I. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
64', Kuusk M. 🟨,
64', Kurminowski D. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
64', Neugebauer T. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
68', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
73', Sezonienko K. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
76', Wdowiak M. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
83', Shkurin I. ↓, Kokosinski J. ↑,
83', Milewski S. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
89', Nowak B. ↓, Blad A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

GKS Katowice is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

GKS Katowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J. (Inactive) Czerwinski A. (Yellow Cards) Jedrych A. (Yellow Cards) Paluszek A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lechia: Mena C. (Injury) Wojtowicz T. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

GKS Katowice: 1.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	GKS Katowice	9	5	0	4	20:14	6	15

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Katowice - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 40.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
08.03.26	Radomiak Radom - GKS Katowice	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
03.03.26	GKS Katowice - Widzew Łódź	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.02.26	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Arka Gdynia - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	GKS Katowice - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLT
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.03.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk	2:3 ✺
06.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
12.09.25	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice	2:0
24.05.25	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice	2:3
30.11.24	GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0
Polish Division 1
07.04.24	GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0
22.09.23	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice	5:1

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