Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 42

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.1	1.98
	2.54	4.35	2.21
	2.55	4.36	2.22
	2.9	4	1.91
	2.98	4.45	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.25)	4.25 ↓ (4.5)	2.06 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
33.6%

Draw
21.6%

Radcliffe
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

20.2%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.7%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gainsborough Trinity's performance.

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radcliffe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gainsborough Trinity that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radcliffe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Hulme J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Southwell D. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Stacey J. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Rawsthorn L. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Southwell D. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Radcliffe is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League North

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Radcliffe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Radcliffe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gainsborough won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
20.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Gainsborough Trinity	3:3 ✺
16.04.24	Matlock Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:4 ✺
13.04.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	4:1 ✺
06.04.24	Lancaster City - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWLW
- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
20.04.24	Radcliffe - Basford United	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Whitby Town - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	4:0 ✺
01.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Radcliffe	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Radcliffe - Ashton United	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
11.11.23	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0
15.04.23	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
26.11.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Radcliffe	2:2
22.01.22	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
25.09.21	Gainsborough Trinity - Radcliffe	1:1
24.10.20	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1
03.03.20	Gainsborough Trinity - Radcliffe	4:1

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