Match Info

K League 1 - Round 13

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV


	Gwangju		Gangwon

	1	X	2
	7	3.75	1.48	Watch
	6.7	3.85	1.47
	8.51	3.98	1.51
	7.64	3.9	1.48	Watch
	7.5	3.6	1.44	Watch
	7.5	3.8	1.49	Watch
	4.1	3.1	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.99 ↑ (4.1)	3.71 ↑ (3.1)	1.53 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
13.4%

Draw
25.3%

Gangwon
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

29.1%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

28.9%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwangju's form might have worsened.

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gangwon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwangju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gangwon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gwangju - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: Gangwon will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 9. Ha Seung-Un 24. Kim Y. 6. Ahn Young-Kyu (C) 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 99. Hong Yong-Jun 8. Ju Se-Jong 88. Moon Min-seo 16. Joung Ji-hun 19. Ahn Hyeok-Ju 25. Kim Yun-ho	1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 47. Shin Min-Ha 23. Tuci M. 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk (C) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 10. Mo Jae-Hyeon 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 7. Kim Dae-Won 34. Song Jun-Seok 9. Kim Gun-Hee 11. Goh Young-Jun
Substitutes
11. Fridjonsson H. 26. Gong B. 79. Jung Gyu-Min 42. Kang Hui-Su 1. Kim Kyeong-min (G) 3. Lee Min-Ki 39. Min Sang-Gi 13. Park Jeong-In 28. Seong Hyun P.	96. Choe Byeong-Chan 77. Hleihel A. 14. Kang Y. 27. Kim Do-Hyun 21. Kim Jung-Hoon (G) 57. Lee Yong-Jae 24. Park H. 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 4. Seo Min-Woo
Coaches
Lee J.	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Ahn Young-Kyu 🟨,
22', Kim Gun-Hee (Penalty Awarded),
24', Shin Min-Ha 🟨,
33', Goh Young-Jun 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kim Yun-ho ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
54', Tuci M. ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
54', Kim Gun-Hee ↓, Seo Min-Woo ↑,
56', Ahn Young-Kyu ↓, Min Sang-Gi ↑,
64', Hong Yong-Jun ↓, Park Jeong-In ↑,
71', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
81', Kim Y. ↓, Gong B. ↑,
81', Park Jeong-In ↓, Lee Min-Ki ↑,
82', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Park H. ↑,
82', Kim Dong-Hyun ↓, Kang Y. ↑,
90+2', Min Sang-Gi 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 0.

Gwangju is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gangwon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gangwon is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Gangwon will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46
12	Gwangju FC ✔	31	2	12	17	25:66	-41	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
05.05.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
26.04.26	Gwangju - Anyang	2:5 ✺
22.04.26	Pohang Steelers - Gwangju	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
05.05.26	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Incheon United - Gangwon	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Gangwon - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
04.04.26	Gangwon - Gwangju	3:0
23.08.25	Gwangju - Gangwon	0:1
25.05.25	Gwangju - Gangwon	0:1
13.04.25	Gangwon - Gwangju	1:0
18.08.24	Gangwon - Gwangju	3:2
07.07.24	Gangwon - Gwangju	2:0
10.03.24	Gwangju - Gangwon	4:2

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