Match Info

National League - Round 19

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:03	DAZN
Argentina	12:03	DAZN
Australia	02:03	DAZN
Austria	16:03	DAZN
Belarus	18:03	DAZN
Bolivia	11:03	DAZN
Brazil	12:03	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:03	DAZN
Canada	10:03	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:03	DAZN
Croatia	16:03	DAZN
Cyprus	17:03	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:03	DAZN
Denmark	16:03	DAZN
Ecuador	10:03	DAZN
Finland	17:03	DAZN
France	16:03	DAZN France
Germany	16:03	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:03	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:03	DAZN
Hungary	16:03	DAZN
India	20:33	DAZN
Indonesia	22:03	DAZN
Italy	16:03	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:03	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:03	DAZN
Latvia	17:03	DAZN
Lithuania	17:03	DAZN
Malaysia	23:03	DAZN
Mexico	09:03	DAZN
New Zealand	04:03	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:03	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:03	DAZN
Norway	16:03	DAZN
Paraguay	12:03	DAZN
Philippines	23:03	DAZN
Poland	16:03	DAZN
Portugal	15:03	DAZN / App
Romania	17:03	DAZN
Russia	18:03	DAZN
Serbia	16:03	DAZN
Slovenia	16:03	DAZN
South Africa	17:03	DAZN
South Korea	00:03	DAZN
Spain	16:03	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:03	DAZN
Switzerland	16:03	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:03	DAZN
Thailand	22:03	DAZN
Ukraine	17:03	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:03	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:03	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	12:03	DAZN
Usa	10:03	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:03	DAZN
Venezuela	11:03	DAZN
Vietnam	22:03	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	7.5
	1.37	4.75	7.3
	1.33	5.2	8.61
	1.47	4.27	6.08	Watch
	1.33	4.55	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	4.62 ↑ (4.27)	7.46 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
67.5%

Draw
20.1%

Eastleigh
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Carlisle United - Eastleigh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastleigh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 3. Harper C. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 11. Luamba J. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 10. Linney R. 9. Kelly G.	1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 6. Eweka T. 16. Pierre A. 3. Vokins J. 4. Humphries L. 17. Lundstram J. 20. Pearson S. 7. Evans K. 15. Saunders H. 9. McCallum P. (C)
Substitutes
29. Armstrong L. 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 24. Grant J. 25. Lewis H. (G) 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.	29. Bamey S. 21. Davis S. 5. Fernandez L. 10. McGuckin C. 22. McNamara J. (G) 18. Wariuh A. 33. Whitehead T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Eweka T. 🟨,
45', Brindley R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Luamba J. ⚽,
70', Luamba J. 🟨,
77', McCallum P. ↓, McGuckin C. ↑,
82', Kelly G. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
82', Macadam H. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
85', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Evans K. ⚽, Humphries L. (A),
90+1', Pearson S. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 13).

Carlisle is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eastleigh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Eastleigh has had a series of home games.

In this match, Carlisle is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
08.11.25	Southend United - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Reading - Carlisle United	2:3 ET ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWTW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
08.11.25	Eastleigh - York City	2:4 ✺
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Eastleigh - Walsall	0:3 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Eastleigh - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWT

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