Match Info

National League - Round 19

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Carlisle United		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	7.5
	1.37	4.75	7.3
	1.33	5.2	8.61
	1.47	4.27	6.08	Watch
	1.33	4.55	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	4.62 ↑ (4.27)	7.46 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
67.5%

Draw
20.1%

Eastleigh
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Carlisle United - Eastleigh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastleigh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 3. Harper C. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 11. Luamba J. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 10. Linney R. 9. Kelly G.	1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 6. Eweka T. 16. Pierre A. 3. Vokins J. 4. Humphries L. 17. Lundstram J. 20. Pearson S. 7. Evans K. 15. Saunders H. 9. McCallum P. (C)
Substitutes
29. Armstrong L. 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 24. Grant J. 25. Lewis H. (G) 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.	29. Bamey S. 21. Davis S. 5. Fernandez L. 10. McGuckin C. 22. McNamara J. (G) 18. Wariuh A. 33. Whitehead T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Eweka T. 🟨,
45', Brindley R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Luamba J. ⚽,
70', Luamba J. 🟨,
77', McCallum P. ↓, McGuckin C. ↑,
82', Kelly G. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
82', Macadam H. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
85', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Evans K. ⚽, Humphries L. (A),
90+1', Pearson S. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 13).

Carlisle is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eastleigh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Eastleigh has had a series of home games.

In this match, Carlisle is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
08.11.25	Southend United - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Reading - Carlisle United	2:3 ET ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWTW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
08.11.25	Eastleigh - York City	2:4 ✺
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Eastleigh - Walsall	0:3 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Eastleigh - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWT

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