Match Info

National League - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Southend United		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6.5
	1.39	4.85	6.5
	1.36	5.34	7.23
	1.42	4.62	6.67	Watch
	1.36	4.8	6.5
	1.34	4.85	6.79
	1.35	5.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	4.93 ↓ (5.01)	6.74 ↓ (8.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
67.6%

Draw
18.7%

Morecambe
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

17.5%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southend United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Southend United - Morecambe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Morecambe (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2 - Morecambe (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Morecambe (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Morecambe (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mason O. (G) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H. 15. Gubbins J. 6. Goodliffe B. 33. Boyes H. 22. Appiah-Forson K. 17. Miley C. (C) 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 9. Dallas A. 11. Walker J.	40. Blackman J. (G) 2. Payne L. 5. Dean H. 33. Akindileni T. 15. Williams B. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 20. Sangare M. 32. Thomas G. 36. Nolan J. 8. Azeez M. 42. Popov C.
Substitutes
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 10. Austin S. 7. Bridge J. 28. Coker O. 14. Hopper T. 24. Kendall C. 23. Morton	41. Boney M. (G) 3. Conte R. 7. Edwards G. 12. Jameson K. 17. Lewis P. 21. Nuttall J. 18. Tollitt B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Scott-Morriss G. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Boyes H. ⚽,
44', Azeez M. 🟨,
44', Boyes H. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 3 - 0, Dallas A. ⚽, Walker J. (A),
58', 3 - 1, Sangare M. ⚽,
61', Thomas G. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
61', Sangare M. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
62', Thomas G. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
62', 4 - 1, Walker J. ⚽,
76', Walker J. ↓, Kendall C. ↑,
76', Dallas A. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
76', Miley C. ↓, Morton ↑,
80', Dean H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
80', Songo'o Y. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
85', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
85', Boyes H. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
90+7', 5 - 1, Hopper T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southend won 1.

Southend has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Morecambe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Morecambe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Southend has had a series of away games.

In this match, Southend is the obvious favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Southend won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	12	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
07.02.26	Scunthorpe United - Southend United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Chatham Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
English National League
27.01.26	Rochdale - Southend United	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Boston United - Southend United	3:3 ✺
20.01.26	Southend United - Eastleigh	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTW
- Morecambe
English National League
10.02.26	Morecambe - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Morecambe - Truro City	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Altrincham - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Morecambe - Solihull Moors	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Halifax Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.10.25	Morecambe - Southend United	0:3
English League Two
06.04.21	Morecambe - Southend United	1:1
26.09.20	Southend United - Morecambe	1:2
02.05.15	Morecambe - Southend United	3:1
04.10.14	Southend United - Morecambe	0:1
08.03.14	Morecambe - Southend United	2:1
English FA Cup
09.11.13	Morecambe - Southend United	0:3

Southend United - Morecambe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide