Match Info

National League - Round 26

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Moss Lane (Altrincham) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Australia	06:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belarus	22:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:45	DAZN
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hong Kong	03:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
India	01:15	DAZN
Indonesia	02:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	DAZN
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
Malaysia	03:45	DAZN
Mexico	13:45	DAZN
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:45	DAZN
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Norway	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	16:45	DAZN
Philippines	03:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Russia	22:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
South Africa	21:45	DAZN
South Korea	04:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
Thailand	02:45	DAZN
Ukraine	21:45	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	23:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	14:45	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	00:45	DAZN
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN
Vietnam	02:45	DAZN


	Altrincham		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	2.05	3.45	3.25
	2.02	3.7	3.5
	2.01	3.69	3.32	Watch
	2	3.4	3.3
	1.99	3.58	3.48
	2	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)	3.53 ↓ (3.8)	3.38 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altrincham
46.5%

Draw
26.2%

Morecambe
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23.5%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altrincham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.6%	21.4%

Altrincham - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Altrincham will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altrincham: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Altrincham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Morecambe (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hutchinson L. (G) 8. Marriott I. 5. Cooper J. 34. Sassi D. 23. Golden T. 14. Kosylo M. 40. Kirk C. 11. Knowles J. 7. Crankshaw O. 9. Gale J. 22. Crawford T. (C)	40. Blackman J. (G) 28. Sutton E. 5. Kacurri M. 14. Sesay A. (C) 6. Francillette L. 36. Nolan J. 33. Raikhy A. 8. Azeez M. 32. Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B. 11. Muskwe A.
Substitutes
4. Baines L. 27. Fallon L. (G) 33. Jones E. 6. Osborne E. 10. Ward K. 29. Waters B. 17. Weaver L.	12. Aarons R. 3. Conte R. 7. Edwards G. 17. Lewis P. 1. Mair A. (G) 2. Payne L. 15. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Williams B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Grant J. 🟨,
48', 0 - 1, Nolan J. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, Crankshaw O. ⚽, Knowles J. (A),
63', Grant J. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
64', Forde A. ↓, Jones E. ↑,
71', Williams B. ↓, McWilliams A. ↑,
71', Edwards G. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
74', Knowles J. ↓, Kirk C. ↑,
75', Crankshaw O. ↓, Weaver L. ↑,
78', Songo'o Y. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
90', Golden T. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Altrincham is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Morecambe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Morecambe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Altrincham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altrincham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Altrincham	15	9	1	5	22:20	2	28

Outrights of English National League for now

Altrincham: 0.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Altrincham - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.43%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Morecambe - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 25.15%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altrincham
English National League
31.01.26	Carlisle United - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Altrincham - Boreham Wood	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Forest Green Rovers - Altrincham	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hartlepool United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Altrincham - York City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWTLL
- Morecambe
English National League
24.01.26	Morecambe - Solihull Moors	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Halifax Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Morecambe - Scunthorpe United	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Morecambe	6:2 ✺
English National League
30.12.25	Carlisle United - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.08.25	Morecambe - Altrincham	2:1

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