Match Info

Super Lig - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gaziantep Stadyumu (Gaziantep) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	19:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect
Bolivia	13:00	ESPN 5
Brazil	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	14:00	Disney+
Colombia	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	19:00	SportKlub 3
Ecuador	12:00	ESPN 5
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Vidio
Israel	20:00	Sport 1
Kazakhstan	23:00	Sport+
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Kosovo	19:00	ART Sport 4
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	19:00	MaxTV GO
Paraguay	13:00	ESPN 5
Peru	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Romania	20:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	19:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 2
Slovenia	19:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	19:00	SupeSport ESPN
Thailand	00:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Gaziantep		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.33	1.42	Watch
	6.25	4.40	1.47
	6.25	4.35	1.49	Watch
	6.64	4.57	1.51
	6.19	4.48	1.5
	6.40	4.45	1.49
	6.43	4.55	1.50	Watch
	5.20	4.20	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (5.87)	4.42 ↑ (4.24)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaziantep
15.4%

Draw
21.4%

Fenerbahçe
63.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.9%

22.1%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

21%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fenerbahçe (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Fenerbahçe (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Gaziantep (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.70) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

1X2 - Fenerbahce (1.57) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (31 of 31 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tobiasz K. (G) 2. Perez L. 4. Kizildag A. 14. Abena M. 23. Calhanoglu K. 6. Meleke U. 18. Sorescu D. 8. Gidado V. 44. Maxim A. (C) 10. Kozlowski K. 28. Dervisoglu H.	31. Ederson (G) 18. Muldur M. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 15. Ake N. 3. Brown A. 91. Kante N. 5. Yuksek I. 6. Guendouzi M. 11. Greenwood M. 9. Lukaku R. 7. Akturkoglu K.
Substitutes
7. Bacuna J. 3. Camara D. 35. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 19. Dursun S. 17. Gassama K. 22. Hansen S. 61. Ozcicek O. 5. Sarikaya E. 9. Stewart T. 21. Sylla A.	70. Aydin O. 14. Demir Y. E. 28. Elmaz B. 34. Gunok M. (G) 17. Kahveci I. 22. Mercan L. 19. Muriqi V. 45. Nene D. 21. Peprah K. 27. Semedo N.
Coaches
Ak O.	Kartal I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Meleke U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
61', Maxim A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
64', Guendouzi M. ↓, Kahveci I. ↑,
64', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
64', Lukaku R. ↓, Muriqi V. ↑,
69', Sorescu D. ↓, Gassama K. ↑,
77', Muldur M. ↓, Semedo N. ↑,
82', Kozlowski K. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
82', Calhanoglu K. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
83', Kahveci I. 🟨,
83', Kizildag A. 🟨,
84', Muriqi V. 🟨,
84', Abena M. 🟨,
84', Aydin O. 🟨,
87', Yuksek I. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
90+2', Hansen S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the team to beat.

There will not play in Gaziantep: Bavuk F. (Injury) Hansen S. (Injury) Kalin A. O. (Inactive) Sangare N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Asensio M. (Muscle Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:45. (average 0.9:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:25. (average 0.9:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Fenerbahce	9	5	1	3	23:8	15	16
14	Gaziantep	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Fenerbahce: 19.34%

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.99%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
07.09.26	Göztepe - Gaziantep	2:4 ✺
29.08.26	Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Eyüpspor - Gaziantep	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Gaziantep - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.26	IMT Novi Beograd - Gaziantep	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWTW
- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Roma	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
05.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Lyon - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Konyaspor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
17.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	4:1
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:4
Turkish Super League
27.10.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:4
26.04.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	1:3
Turkish Cup
27.02.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	1:4
Turkish Super League
02.12.24	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	3:1
Turkish Cup
07.02.24	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:2

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