Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:45	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Q League Asia
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Azerbaijan	20:45	CBC Sport
Belarus	19:45	Sport TV
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 3
Bolivia	12:45	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	13:45	TNT
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Cameroon	17:45	CRTV Sports
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Colombia	11:45	Disney+, ESPN
Cote D Ivoire	16:45	NCI
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	18:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	11:45	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	16:45	SÝN Sport 2
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	19:45	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	18:45	Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Uno
Kosovo	18:45	RTK 1
Malta	18:45	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	10:45	TNT Sports
Mongolia	00:45	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 3
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play
Peru	11:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	19:45	Okko Prime
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	18:45	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Turkey	19:45	TRT 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 6, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, ESPN


	Fenerbahçe		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.70	1.90
	3.70	3.75	1.90
	3.90	3.50	1.97
	4.07	3.80	1.98
	3.7	3.67	2.05
	4.05	3.70	1.94
	3.91	3.80	1.95
	3.90	3.85	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.54)	3.72 ↑ (3.39)	1.96 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
24.8%

Draw
25.9%

Roma
49.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.1%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	12.9%	71%

Fenerbahçe - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 10 - 16.4%). Roma will win (votes: 43 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 59.1% – 81.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Roma (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Fenerbahçe (2.46) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Fenerbahçe (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Roma (votes: 11 - 64.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 18. Muldur M. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 15. Ake N. 3. Brown A. 91. Kante N. 5. Yuksek I. 28. Elmaz B. 11. Greenwood M. 19. Muriqi V. 7. Akturkoglu K.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 2. Rensch D. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 21. Dybala P. 18. Soule M. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
70. Aydin O. 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 34. Gunok M. (G) 17. Kahveci I. 9. Lukaku R. 22. Mercan L. 77. Mimovic O. 45. Nene D. 21. Peprah K. 27. Semedo N.	26. Balerdi L. 9. Castro S. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 15. De Roon M. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 3. Koulierakis K. 77. Lulli E. 20. Molina N. 86. Mora R. 61. Pisilli N.
Coaches
Kartal I.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Cristante B. ⚽, Malen D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Rensch D. 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Brown A. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
51', Brown A. 🟨,
53', Kone M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
62', Elmaz B. ↓, Mercan L. ↑,
68', (Penalty overturned),
69', Akturkoglu K. 🟨,
71', Muldur M. 🟨,
72', Muriqi V. ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
72', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
74', Rensch D. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
74', Soule M. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
74', Mancini G. ↓, Balerdi L. ↑,
84', Yuksek I. 🟨,
86', Cristante B. 🟨,
87', Malen D. ↓, De Roon M. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Roma might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Asensio M. (Muscle Injury) Diouf A. (Off the roster) Fall A. (Off the roster) Guendouzi M. (Red Card) Oosterwolde J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Off the roster) Yandas M. (Off the roster)

There will not play in Roma: Bah M. (Knee Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fenerbahçe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	AS Roma	3	1	1	1	8:5	3	4
31	Fenerbahce	3	0	2	1	3:9	-6	2

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

AS Roma: 1.35% Fenerbahce: 0.47%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
05.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Lyon - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Konyaspor	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Lyon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWT
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
05.09.26	Roma - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Lecce - Roma	0:4 ✺
24.08.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Roma	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Roma	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.08.14	Roma - Fenerbahçe	3:3

Upcoming Matches