Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 1

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Gedania Gdańsk		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.65	3.50	2.16
	2.45	3.75	2.29
	2.61	3.82	2.24	Watch
	2.40	3.70	2.25
	2.53	3.60	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3.14)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	2.25 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gedania Gdańsk
35.4%

Draw
24.7%

Noteć Czarnków
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

25.5%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gedania Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gedania Gdańsk's performance.

Noteć Czarnków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noteć Czarnków might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Gedania Gdańsk - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Dowgiallo S. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Sliwowski O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
53', 3 - 1, Waliszewski K. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 3 - 2, ⚽,
86', 3 - 3, ⚽,
87', 4 - 3, Manuszewski M. ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Gedania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Noteć Czarnków could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gedania won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gedania won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Notec Czarnkow	11	5	1	5	18:15	3	16
14	Gedania Gdansk	11	2	5	4	23:24	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gedania Gdańsk
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Czarni Pruszcz Gdański	2:5 ✺
11.07.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Gedania Gdańsk	4:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.06.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 2	1:5 ✺
01.06.25	Flota Świnoujście - Gedania Gdańsk	3:4 ✺
24.05.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWL
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.05.26	Wda Świecie - Noteć Czarnków	1:3 ✺
23.05.26	Elana Toruń - Noteć Czarnków	0:3 ✺
17.05.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Noteć Czarnków	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Swarzędz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.04.25	Noteć Czarnków - Gedania Gdańsk	0:3
14.09.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Noteć Czarnków	1:5
16.03.24	Noteć Czarnków - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2
23.08.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Noteć Czarnków	1:1

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