Match Info

CHILE: Chilean Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday


	General Velásquez		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.25	1.85
	3.6	3.5	1.78
	3.78	3.51	1.84
	3.78	3.51	1.84
	3.6	3.5	1.85
	3.71	3.6	1.82
	3.75	3.4	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (4)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Velásquez
24.4%

Draw
26.1%

Curicó Unido
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.2%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

26.5%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Velásquez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+2%)

General Velásquez - Curicó Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Castillo G. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches General Velásquez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Curicó Unido is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

General Velásquez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Curicó Unido is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Velásquez
Chilean Segunda Division
26.05.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - General Velásquez	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	General Velásquez - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Concón National - General Velásquez	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	General Velásquez - Lautaro de Buin	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTW
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.06.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning	2:1 ✺
19.05.24	Santiago Wanderers - Curicó Unido	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Curicó Unido - San Luis de Quillota	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.5 TWTWW

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