Freiburg - Genk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday
  • Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Freiburg Genk
    Freiburg Genk
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.53 4.33 6
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    betsson 1.55 4.35 6.1
    Bet_in_Asia 1.56 4.35 6.1
    GGBet 1.57 4.37 5.52
    Williamhill 1.57 4 5.5
    BetNow 1.6 4.4 6.19
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.63)
    4.29
    (4.05)
    5.81
    (5.78)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Freiburg
    61.1%
    Draw
    22.4%
    Genk
    16.5%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    59.4% 23.9% 16.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    60.3% 23.5% 16.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Genk aligns with the current prediction.
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    72.2% 11.1% 16.7%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Genk will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 57.6% โ€“ 86.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Freiburg (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Genk (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Genk (5.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Genk (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanyAtubolu N. (G)
    29. GermanyTreu P.
    28. GermanyGinter M.
    43. SwitzerlandOgbus B.
    33. FranceMakengo J.
      8. GermanyEggestein M.
    44. SwitzerlandManzambi J.
    19. GermanyBeste J.
    14. JapanSuzuki Y.
    32. ItalyGrifo V. (C)
    31. CroatiaMatanovic I.
    26. AustriaLawal T. (G)
    27. BelgiumNkuba K.
    44. BelgiumKongolo J.
      6. BelgiumSmets M.
    18. DRKayembe J.
    21. GuineaBangoura I.
    20. GreeceKaretsas K.
      8. BelgiumHeynen B. (C)
    38. BelgiumHeymans D.
    32. BelgiumAdedeji-Sternberg N.
    23. CameroonBibout A.
    Substitutes
    30. GermanyGunter C.
    27. GermanyHofler N.
      9. GermanyHoler L.
    24. GermanyHuth J. (G)
    22. BurkinaIrie C.
      5. GermanyJung A.
    17. GermanyKubler L.
      3. AustriaLienhart P.
    21. GermanyMuller F. (G)
      6. GermanyOsterhage P.
    26. GermanyPhilipp M.
      7. GermanyScherhant D.
    28. BelgiumBrughmans L. (G)
    99. SwedenErabi J.
    10. JapanIto J.
    19. EcuadorMedina Y.
    29. BelgiumMirisola R.
    34. VenezuelaPalacios A.
      3. SpainSadick M.
    24. AustriaSattlberger N.
    14. NigeriaSor Y.
      7. BelgiumSteuckers J.
      1. BelgiumVan Crombrugge H. (G)
    30. JapanYokoyama A.
    Coaches
         GermanySchuster J.
         BelgiumHayen N.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 1)
    • 19', 1 - 0, Ginter M. , Grifo V. (A),
    • 25', 2 - 0, Matanovic I. , Ginter M. (A),
    • 30', Matanovic I. 🟨,
    • 39', 2 - 1, Smets M. , Karetsas K. (A),
    • 44', Beste J. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
    • 46', Adedeji-Sternberg N. , Sor Y. ,
    • 53', 3 - 1, Grifo V. ,
    • 57', 4 - 1, Suzuki Y. , Manzambi J. (A),
    • 58', Grifo V. 🟨,
    • 58', Heymans D. 🟨,
    • 59', Manzambi J. 🟨,
    • 64', Bangoura I. 🟨,
    • 69', Bibout A. , Mirisola R. ,
    • 69', Kayembe J. , Medina Y. ,
    • 69', Bangoura I. , Ito J. ,
    • 71', Beste J. , Holer L. ,
    • 71', Matanovic I. , Osterhage P. ,
    • 71', Grifo V. , Scherhant D. ,
    • 76', Holer L. 🟨,
    • 79', 5 - 1, Eggestein M. , Suzuki Y. (A),
    • 81', Manzambi J. , Lienhart P. ,
    • 83', Heymans D. , Sattlberger N. ,
    • 83', Treu P. , Kubler L. ,

    Preview

  • First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
  • Freiburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Genk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 3).
  • Recently, Genk has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Freiburg is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Freiburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - SC Freiburg
    German Bundesliga
    15.03.26 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:1
    UEFA Europa League
    12.03.26 Genk - Freiburg 1:0
    German Bundesliga
    07.03.26 Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3
    01.03.26 Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg 2:0
    22.02.26 Freiburg - Borussia Mรถnchengladbach 2:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6
    LLTLW
    - Racing Genk
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League
    15.03.26 Genk - Sint-Truidense 1:0
    UEFA Europa League
    12.03.26 Genk - Freiburg 1:0
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League
    07.03.26 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 2:1
    01.03.26 Genk - Gent 3:0
    UEFA Europa League
    26.02.26 Genk - Dinamo Zagreb 3:3 ET
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9
    WWLWL
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Europa League
    12.03.26 Genk - Freiburg 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - SC Freiburg
    German Bundesliga
    30.08.26 Freiburg - Werder Bremen
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    27.08.26 Freiburg - Motherwell
    - Racing Genk
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League
    28.08.26 Genk - Beveren