Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports 2
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	Kompas TV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	U-NEXT
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	ESPN 3, ESPN
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Fortuna Sittard		Ajax

	1	X	2
	6.50	5.50	1.38	Watch
	6.25	5.25	1.41
	6.75	5.00	1.38
	7.10	5.30	1.43
	6.48	5.16	1.42	Watch
	6.85	5.20	1.40
	6.62	5.60	1.41	Watch
	6.40	5.20	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.62 ↑ (5.27)	5.28 ↑ (4.45)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
14.3%

Draw
18%

Ajax
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

21.1%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

20.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajax's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.7%	93.3%

Fortuna Sittard - Ajax Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.95) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Ajax (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 23. Brittijn P. 3. Guth R. 28. Hubner J. 8. Dahlhaus J. 20. Michut E. 52. Ihattaren M. 22. Zand S. 25. Zeefuik L. 10. Romeny O.	1. ter Stegen M. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 6. Kehrer T. 15. Baas Y. 12. Caio Henrique 24. Mokio J. 4. Amrabat S. 8. Brandt J. 23. Berghuis S. (C) 99. Arokodare T. 20. Edvardsen O.
Substitutes
39. Buyukhan G. 15. de Groot N. 9. Descotte A. 38. Gbemou M. 33. Kaylen (G) 1. Koopmans L. (G) 44. Stockbrink D. 35. van Burgsteden K. 6. van Ottele S.	9. Dolberg K. 10. Gloukh O. 22. Heerkens J. (G) 36. Janse D. 18. Klaassen D. 38. Marcos Leonardo 68. Ouazane A. 26. Paes M. (G) 2. Rosa L. 21. Torrents J. 11. Tsygankov V. 5. Wijndal O.
Coaches
Buijs D.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Mokio J. 🟨,
23', Baas Y. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Brandt J. ⚽,
44', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Zeefuik L. ↓, Descotte A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Descotte A. ⚽,
57', Edvardsen O. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
57', Mokio J. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Kehrer T. ⚽,
64', Berghuis S. 🟨,
68', Berghuis S. ↓, Tsygankov V. ↑,
71', Caio Henrique 🟨,
73', 1 - 3, Klaassen D. ⚽, Kehrer T. (A),
74', Arokodare T. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
74', Brandt J. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
76', Dahlhaus J. ↓, de Groot N. ↑,
76', Ihattaren M. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
79', 1 - 4, Dolberg K. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
81', Ouazane A. 🟨,
86', Michut E. ↓, Gbemou M. ↑,
89', Romeny O. ↓, van Burgsteden K. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 5, Baas Y. ⚽, Tsygankov V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ajax is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Peterson K. (Inactive) Simons S. (Hamstring Injury) Wylin S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ajax: Adingra S. (Foot Injury) Blind D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Marquez I. (Injury) Oukili Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Bouwman A. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:51. (average 0.6:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.5:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22:10	12	15
6	Sittard	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
06.09.26	ADO Den Haag - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Fortuna Sittard - Cambuur	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWLWT
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
05.09.26	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Telstar - Ajax	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Ajax - Sion	5:3 ✺
20.08.26	Sion - Ajax	2:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.26	Ajax - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
14.02.26	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	4:1
06.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:3
09.02.25	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	0:2
18.09.24	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	5:0
10.03.24	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	2:2
03.09.23	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	0:0
09.04.23	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	4:0

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