The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Willem II 37.1%
Draw 25.8%
Fortuna Sittard 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
25.4%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
25.5%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
10%
80%
Willem II - Fortuna Sittard Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 55.2% – 100%.
26. Delanghe M. (G) 5. ter Avest H. (C) 3. Stam F. 23. Dekker M. 24. Tjoe a On N. 6. Twigt C. 52. Vilhena T. 50. Gurbuz E. 19. van Aalst U. 7. Slory J. 9. Haen D.
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 23. Brittijn P. 3. Guth R. 28. Hubner J. 8. Dahlhaus J. 52. Ihattaren M. 22. Zand S. 20. Michut E. 10. Romeny O. 9. Descotte A.
Substitutes
2. Ciranni A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 14. Mathijsen J. 17. Obi C. 10. Schuurman J. 32. van Crooij V. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 22. van Loon P. 28. Verheydt T. 18. Zarrouk A.
39. Buyukhan G. 15. de Groot N. 38. Gbemou M. 33. Kaylen (G) 1. Koopmans L. (G) 7. Peterson K. 35. van Burgsteden K. 6. van Ottele S. 25. Zeefuik L.
Coaches
Stegeman J.
Buijs D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Romeny O. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
64', van Aalst U. 🟨,
70', Tjoe a On N. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
71', Gurbuz E. ↓, van Crooij V. ↑,
72', van Crooij V. 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Brittijn P. ⚽,
82', Slory J. ↓, Obi C. ↑,
82', Vilhena T. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
83', Zand S. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
83', Descotte A. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
89', Twigt C. ↓, Lemmens M. ↑,
90+3', Pinto I. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 1.
Willem II is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Fortuna Sittard have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fortuna Sittard could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Willem II: Culum A.
(Foot Injury)
Didillon Hodl T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hoogma J.
(Inactive)
Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
van Crooij V.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Marquez I.
(Injury)
Oukili Y.
(Injury)
Peterson K.
(Inactive)
Simons S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wylin S.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Willem II has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:19 (averaging 1.5:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Willem II against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Sittard
8
4
2
2
14:15
-1
14
18
Willem II
7
0
2
5
6:20
-14
2
Last Results with these Odds
Fortuna Sittard - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Delanghe M. (G) 
ter Avest H. (C) 
Tjoe a On N. 
Pinto I. (C) 
Guth R. 
Ihattaren M. 
Michut E. 
Obi C. 
Kaylen (G) 
Peterson K. 
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