Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 9 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Melia Villaitana Football Center (Alicante)


	Lugano		Genk

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	1.98
	3.1	3.75	2.05
	3.22	3.78	2.06
	3.22	3.78	2.07
	3.1	3.75	1.85
	3.05	3.8	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.7	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.82)	3.72 ↓ (3.73)	2.03 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
29.6%

Draw
24.8%

Genk
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

24.6%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

23.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Lugano - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Genk will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saipi A. (G) 25. Bislimi U. 9. Celar Z. 21. Cimignani Y. 20. Doumbia O. 6. Espinoza J. 5. Hajdari A. 17. Mai L. 14. Sabbatini J. 11. Steffen R. 23. Valenzuela M.	26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 19. Ait El Hadj A. 75. Caicedo A. 68. Claes T. 15. El Ouahdi Z. 17. Hrosovsky P. 2. McKenzie M. 24. Oyen L. 3. Sadick M. 14. Sor Y. 9. Zeqiri A.

Preview

Recent matches Lugano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Genk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Genk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lugano have a series of home games.

Genk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
17.12.23	Servette - Lugano	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.12.23	Lugano - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.12.23	Lugano - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
06.12.23	Lugano - Basel	1:3 ✺
03.12.23	Lugano - Luzern	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLW
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.23	Genk - Royal Antwerp	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Anderlecht - Genk	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Genk - Kortrijk	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.12.23	Genk - Čukarički	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.12.23	Eupen - Genk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

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