Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pairay (Seraing)

Referee: Vitse J. (Bel)


	Seraing		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.38	3.45	2.72
	2.44	3.61	2.76
	2.19	3.64	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.63
	2.39	3.43	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.38)	3.45 ↓ (3.48)	2.72 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seraing
39.4%

Draw
26.7%

Genk U23
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.4%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Seraing - Genk U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Genk U23 will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seraing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Seraing (1.71) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Seraing (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Genk U23 (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gillekens N. (G) 15. Ndiaye C. O. 6. Solheid N. (C) 13. Camara H. 3. Kebe O. 22. Scarpinati M. 9. Soumah-Abbad E. 25. Ba A. 11. Muland M. 14. Mabani F. 90. Akpa-Chukwu H.	28. Brughmans L. (G) 2. Pierre K. 73. Mbavu E. 34. Palacios A. 84. Sarfo E. 86. Haroun K. 53. Mocsnik M. 79. Nzoko D. 89. Kim M. 30. Yokoyama A. 50. Beniangba V. (C)
Substitutes
19. Bouchentouf N. 5. Bukusu K. 23. Diarra D. 21. Di Crescenzo V. 7. Duarte D. 10. Faye S. 20. Mejjati-Alami M. 30. Ngoua B. (G) 27. Paulo da Silva T.	78. Achahbar K. 72. Barry A. 67. Camara A. 66. Coenen J. 76. Driessen J. 59. Kapers W. 57. Murenzi A. 75. Ogbeiwi P. 82. Vliegen O. (G)
Coaches
Mercier A.	de Camargo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Nzoko D. ⚽, Yokoyama A. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Haroun K. (A),
40', Sarfo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 2, Akpa-Chukwu H. ⚽, Muland M. (A),
68', 2 - 2, Muland M. ⚽,
76', Ndiaye C. O. ↓, Bouchentouf N. ↑,
77', Nzoko D. ↓, Coenen J. ↑,
78', Camara H. 🟨,
87', Kim M. ↓, Ogbeiwi P. ↑,
87', Kebe O. ↓, Paulo da Silva T. ↑,
88', Ba A. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
88', Haroun K. ↓, Kapers W. ↑,
90+2', Soumah-Abbad E. ↓, Di Crescenzo V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

Seraing is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Genk U23 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Genk U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Seraing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Genk U23	6	2	1	3	12:14	-2	7
14	Seraing	6	0	2	4	6:12	-6	2

Last Results with these Odds

Genk U23 - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.61%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Seraing
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Seraing	2:4 ✺
08.03.26	Seraing - Francs Borains	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Lommel - Seraing	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Lierse - Seraing	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Seraing - Anderlecht U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WWWWL
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
10.03.26	Genk U23 - Brugge U23	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Genk U23 - Lierse	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Anderlecht U23 - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Genk U23 - RFC Liège	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
23.08.25	Genk U23 - Seraing	0:0
19.01.25	Genk U23 - Seraing	2:2
16.08.24	Seraing - Genk U23	0:2
04.02.24	Seraing - Genk U23	1:3
26.11.23	Genk U23 - Seraing	1:1

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