Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: KAA Gent Arena (Gent)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Gent		Maccabi Haifa

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	1.9	3.6	4.2
	1.88	3.64	4.36
	1.85	3.74	4.11
	1.88	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.7)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	4.14 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
50.8%

Draw
26.3%

Maccabi Haifa
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.5%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent's performance.

Maccabi Haifa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Haifa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Haifa than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Haifa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20.8%	12.5%

Gent - Maccabi Haifa Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Maccabi Haifa will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (G) 5. Kandouss I. 4. Watanabe T. 20. Mitrovic S. 3. Brown A. 18. Samoise M. 8. Gerkens P. 6. Gandelman O. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 29. Depoitre L. 10. Tissoudali T. (C)	40. Kaiuf S. (G) 2. Sundgren D. 22. Feingold I. 30. Seck A. 55. Gershon R. 15. Saief K. 5. Show 4. Mohamed A. 25. Khalaili A. 9. Pierrot F. 11. Refaelov L. (C)
Substitutes
21. Agbor B. 30. De Schrevel C. (G) 36. De Vlieger T. 28. Fernandez-Pardo M. 25. Fortuna N. 16. Schmidt D. (G) 9. Sonko M. L. 23. Torunarigha J. 37. Van Hauter R.	32. Ben Shimol Z. I. 27. Cornud P. 34. Dahan O. 77. Fucs R. (G) 3. Goldberg S. 6. Kinda G. 31. Lesovoy D. 18. Naor G. 16. Nitzan I. (G) 17. Podgoreanu S. 44. Simic L.
Coaches
Vanhaezebrouck H.	Dego M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Gent is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maccabi Haifa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Gent have a series of guest games.

In this match Gent is a favorite.

There will not play in Gent: De Sart J. (Yellow Cards) Nardi P. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Maccabi Haifa: Haziza D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kandil M. (Yellow Cards) Menahem S. (Concussion) Shuranov E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Gent: Hjulsager A. (Knock) Kums S. (Ankle Injury) Yokota D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Maccabi Haifa: Hajaj I. (Abdominal strain) Jaber M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gent won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.02.24	Eupen - Gent	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.02.24	Maccabi Haifa - Gent	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.02.24	Gent - Cercle Brugge	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Anderlecht - Gent	1:0 ✺
01.02.24	Sint-Truidense - Gent	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Maccabi Haifa FC
Israeli Ligat haAl
18.02.24	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Haifa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.02.24	Maccabi Haifa - Gent	1:0 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
10.02.24	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Haifa	0:2 ✺
05.02.24	Maccabi Haifa - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:0 ✺
31.01.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Haifa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
15.02.24	Maccabi Haifa - Gent	1:0

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