Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Gernika		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.5	2.95	2.12
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.65	3.17	2.1
	3.42	3.26	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.7)	3.09 ↑ (2.8)	2.09 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
26.6%

Draw
29.6%

Osasuna B
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

32.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

33.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gernika's form might have worsened.

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osasuna B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osasuna B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gernika - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Gernika is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osasuna B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Osasuna B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osasuna B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gernika won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.04.22	Sestao - Gernika	3:2 ✺
10.04.22	Gernika - Racing Santander B	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Cayón - Gernika	2:2 ✺
26.03.22	Gernika - Peña Sport	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Ardoi - Gernika	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTTWL
- Osasuna B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.04.22	Osasuna B - Náxara	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Osasuna B - Sestao	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Racing Santander B - Osasuna B	0:3 ✺
26.03.22	Osasuna B - Cayón	6:0 ✺
20.03.22	Peña Sport - Osasuna B	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.12.21	Osasuna B - Gernika	3:3
24.03.18	Osasuna B - Gernika	2:4
01.11.17	Gernika - Osasuna B	3:1

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