Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday


	Gernika		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6.5
	1.48	3.75	6.4
	1.43	4.1	6
	1.44	4.31	7.36
	1.44	4.25	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	4.04 ↑ (3.7)	6.57 ↑ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
63.3%

Draw
22.7%

Peña Sport
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

23.9%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Gernika aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Gernika - Peña Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gernika is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peña Sport has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Gernika is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gernika won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.03.22	Ardoi - Gernika	1:0 ✺
13.03.22	Gernika - Racing Rioja	5:2 ✺
06.03.22	Burgos Promesas - Gernika	1:3 ✺
27.02.22	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	San Juan - Gernika	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLT
- Peña Sport
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.03.22	Peña Sport - Osasuna B	3:3 ✺
13.03.22	Sestao - Peña Sport	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Peña Sport - Racing Santander B	0:2 ✺
27.02.22	Cayón - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Peña Sport - Náxara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.11.21	Peña Sport - Gernika	0:2
20.01.18	Gernika - Peña Sport	3:1
03.09.17	Peña Sport - Gernika	0:1

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