Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.02
	3.25	3	1.97
	3.81	2.98	2.05	Watch
	3.75	2.8	2.05
	3.67	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.99)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)	2.03 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
25.2%

Draw
30.1%

UD Logroñés
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

30.9%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

29.8%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+3%)

Gernika - UD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Rosas B. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Gutierrez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 1 - 2, Rivero Q. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 0.

Recent form of Gernika has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Logroñés is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Logroñés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Logroñés might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:29. (average 0.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gernika won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.02.26	Eibar B - Gernika	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gernika - Sestao	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mutilvera - Gernika	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Gernika - Real Unión de Irun	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Gernika - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLW
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.03.26	UD Logroñés - SD Logroñés	5:0 ✺
22.02.26	Ejea - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	UD Logroñés - Zaragoza B	6:0 ✺
08.02.26	Tudelano - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	UD Logroñés - Basconia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.11.25	UD Logroñés - Gernika	4:0
02.02.25	Gernika - UD Logroñés	2:2
22.09.24	UD Logroñés - Gernika	3:1
21.04.24	Gernika - UD Logroñés	0:2
10.12.23	UD Logroñés - Gernika	7:1
31.03.19	Gernika - UD Logroñés	0:0
11.11.18	UD Logroñés - Gernika	2:0

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